New York’s entrenched Democratic lean and Kathy Hochul’s status as incumbent governor anchor trader consensus on a Democratic victory at 94 percent. With primaries concluded in June 2026 and both major-party nominees advancing unopposed, attention has shifted to the November 3 general election, where Hochul maintains consistent polling leads of roughly ten points over Republican Bruce Blakeman. Recent nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting structural advantages in voter registration, urban turnout patterns, and limited Republican statewide infrastructure. A Republican win would require either sustained shifts in swing suburban counties or late-cycle developments such as major scandals, health-related withdrawals, or sharply adverse economic conditions that could compress the current margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$95,926 交易量
$95,926 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
6%
$95,926 交易量
$95,926 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$46,876 交易量
94%
共和黨
$49,050 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New York’s entrenched Democratic lean and Kathy Hochul’s status as incumbent governor anchor trader consensus on a Democratic victory at 94 percent. With primaries concluded in June 2026 and both major-party nominees advancing unopposed, attention has shifted to the November 3 general election, where Hochul maintains consistent polling leads of roughly ten points over Republican Bruce Blakeman. Recent nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting structural advantages in voter registration, urban turnout patterns, and limited Republican statewide infrastructure. A Republican win would require either sustained shifts in swing suburban counties or late-cycle developments such as major scandals, health-related withdrawals, or sharply adverse economic conditions that could compress the current margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
交易量
$95,926結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.New York’s entrenched Democratic lean and Kathy Hochul’s status as incumbent governor anchor trader consensus on a Democratic victory at 94 percent. With primaries concluded in June 2026 and both major-party nominees advancing unopposed, attention has shifted to the November 3 general election, where Hochul maintains consistent polling leads of roughly ten points over Republican Bruce Blakeman. Recent nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting structural advantages in voter registration, urban turnout patterns, and limited Republican statewide infrastructure. A Republican win would require either sustained shifts in swing suburban counties or late-cycle developments such as major scandals, health-related withdrawals, or sharply adverse economic conditions that could compress the current margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$95,926結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s entrenched Democratic lean and Kathy Hochul’s status as incumbent governor anchor trader consensus on a Democratic victory at 94 percent. With primaries concluded in June 2026 and both major-party nominees advancing unopposed, attention has shifted to the November 3 general election, where Hochul maintains consistent polling leads of roughly ten points over Republican Bruce Blakeman. Recent nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting structural advantages in voter registration, urban turnout patterns, and limited Republican statewide infrastructure. A Republican win would require either sustained shifts in swing suburban counties or late-cycle developments such as major scandals, health-related withdrawals, or sharply adverse economic conditions that could compress the current margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions