Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Hochul secured her party's nomination uncontested after earlier challengers withdrew, while Republican Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, also advanced without primary opposition following Rep. Elise Stefanik's December 2025 withdrawal. Recent Siena and other polls show Hochul leading Blakeman by 4 to 10 points in a state where Democrats have won every gubernatorial contest since 2002. The wide margin stems from New York's partisan composition, Hochul's incumbency, and limited statewide name recognition for the Republican. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp shifts on affordability or crime, or unusually high Republican turnout in key regions could narrow the gap before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$94,564 交易量
$94,564 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
6%
$94,564 交易量
$94,564 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$45,515 交易量
94%
共和黨
$49,050 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Hochul secured her party's nomination uncontested after earlier challengers withdrew, while Republican Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, also advanced without primary opposition following Rep. Elise Stefanik's December 2025 withdrawal. Recent Siena and other polls show Hochul leading Blakeman by 4 to 10 points in a state where Democrats have won every gubernatorial contest since 2002. The wide margin stems from New York's partisan composition, Hochul's incumbency, and limited statewide name recognition for the Republican. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp shifts on affordability or crime, or unusually high Republican turnout in key regions could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
交易量
$94,564結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Hochul secured her party's nomination uncontested after earlier challengers withdrew, while Republican Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, also advanced without primary opposition following Rep. Elise Stefanik's December 2025 withdrawal. Recent Siena and other polls show Hochul leading Blakeman by 4 to 10 points in a state where Democrats have won every gubernatorial contest since 2002. The wide margin stems from New York's partisan composition, Hochul's incumbency, and limited statewide name recognition for the Republican. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp shifts on affordability or crime, or unusually high Republican turnout in key regions could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$94,564結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Hochul secured her party's nomination uncontested after earlier challengers withdrew, while Republican Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County executive endorsed by President Trump, also advanced without primary opposition following Rep. Elise Stefanik's December 2025 withdrawal. Recent Siena and other polls show Hochul leading Blakeman by 4 to 10 points in a state where Democrats have won every gubernatorial contest since 2002. The wide margin stems from New York's partisan composition, Hochul's incumbency, and limited statewide name recognition for the Republican. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp shifts on affordability or crime, or unusually high Republican turnout in key regions could narrow the gap before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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