Recent polling showing Kathy Hochul leading Bruce Blakeman by narrowing single-digit margins has kept projected New York gubernatorial turnout tightly contested across mid-range buckets. The race's competitiveness in a state without a Republican statewide victory since 2002 heightens uncertainty around base mobilization in New York City and suburban areas, where issues such as housing costs, taxes, and state spending could drive differential participation. With the November 3 general election approaching and no dominant late-cycle catalysts yet evident, traders weigh historical turnout patterns against potential swings from voter enthusiasm on both sides and any shifts in national political conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於450萬-500萬 47%
600萬-650萬 47%
少於 4.5M 39%
550萬-600萬 38%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於 4.5M
39%
450萬-500萬
47%
500萬-550萬
37%
550萬-600萬
38%
600萬-650萬
47%
650萬-700萬
35%
700萬以上
36%
450萬-500萬 47%
600萬-650萬 47%
少於 4.5M 39%
550萬-600萬 38%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少於 4.5M
$0 交易量
39%
450萬-500萬
$0 交易量
47%
500萬-550萬
$0 交易量
37%
550萬-600萬
$0 交易量
38%
600萬-650萬
$0 交易量
47%
650萬-700萬
$0 交易量
35%
700萬以上
$0 交易量
36%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling showing Kathy Hochul leading Bruce Blakeman by narrowing single-digit margins has kept projected New York gubernatorial turnout tightly contested across mid-range buckets. The race's competitiveness in a state without a Republican statewide victory since 2002 heightens uncertainty around base mobilization in New York City and suburban areas, where issues such as housing costs, taxes, and state spending could drive differential participation. With the November 3 general election approaching and no dominant late-cycle catalysts yet evident, traders weigh historical turnout patterns against potential swings from voter enthusiasm on both sides and any shifts in national political conditions.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling showing Kathy Hochul leading Bruce Blakeman by narrowing single-digit margins has kept projected New York gubernatorial turnout tightly contested across mid-range buckets. The race's competitiveness in a state without a Republican statewide victory since 2002 heightens uncertainty around base mobilization in New York City and suburban areas, where issues such as housing costs, taxes, and state spending could drive differential participation. With the November 3 general election approaching and no dominant late-cycle catalysts yet evident, traders weigh historical turnout patterns against potential swings from voter enthusiasm on both sides and any shifts in national political conditions.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling showing Kathy Hochul leading Bruce Blakeman by narrowing single-digit margins has kept projected New York gubernatorial turnout tightly contested across mid-range buckets. The race's competitiveness in a state without a Republican statewide victory since 2002 heightens uncertainty around base mobilization in New York City and suburban areas, where issues such as housing costs, taxes, and state spending could drive differential participation. With the November 3 general election approaching and no dominant late-cycle catalysts yet evident, traders weigh historical turnout patterns against potential swings from voter enthusiasm on both sides and any shifts in national political conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions