Tennessee's historically low midterm turnout, often ranking near the bottom nationally with rates around 45% of eligible voters in recent cycles, anchors trader expectations near the 1.8M–2.6M range for the November 3, 2026, U.S. Senate contest. The open gubernatorial race provides a measurable lift compared to incumbent-held cycles, while the Hagerty-Bradshaw rematch and associated Democratic primary activity add modest contestation that typically raises participation by several points. Recent August primaries showed limited early voting, reinforcing caution around higher estimates, yet registration trends and extended early-voting windows could still expand the electorate. Tight clustering across adjacent buckets reflects uncertainty over the net impact of these countervailing forces ahead of the general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於1.6M-1.8M 43%
2.4M-2.6M 43%
1.8M-2M 42%
<1.6M 39%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
<1.6M
39%
1.6M-1.8M
43%
1.8M-2M
42%
2M-2.2M
24%
2.2M-2.4M
37%
2.4M-2.6M
43%
2.6M+
37%
1.6M-1.8M 43%
2.4M-2.6M 43%
1.8M-2M 42%
<1.6M 39%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
<1.6M
$0 交易量
39%
1.6M-1.8M
$0 交易量
43%
1.8M-2M
$0 交易量
42%
2M-2.2M
$0 交易量
24%
2.2M-2.4M
$0 交易量
37%
2.4M-2.6M
$0 交易量
43%
2.6M+
$0 交易量
37%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tennessee's historically low midterm turnout, often ranking near the bottom nationally with rates around 45% of eligible voters in recent cycles, anchors trader expectations near the 1.8M–2.6M range for the November 3, 2026, U.S. Senate contest. The open gubernatorial race provides a measurable lift compared to incumbent-held cycles, while the Hagerty-Bradshaw rematch and associated Democratic primary activity add modest contestation that typically raises participation by several points. Recent August primaries showed limited early voting, reinforcing caution around higher estimates, yet registration trends and extended early-voting windows could still expand the electorate. Tight clustering across adjacent buckets reflects uncertainty over the net impact of these countervailing forces ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tennessee's historically low midterm turnout, often ranking near the bottom nationally with rates around 45% of eligible voters in recent cycles, anchors trader expectations near the 1.8M–2.6M range for the November 3, 2026, U.S. Senate contest. The open gubernatorial race provides a measurable lift compared to incumbent-held cycles, while the Hagerty-Bradshaw rematch and associated Democratic primary activity add modest contestation that typically raises participation by several points. Recent August primaries showed limited early voting, reinforcing caution around higher estimates, yet registration trends and extended early-voting windows could still expand the electorate. Tight clustering across adjacent buckets reflects uncertainty over the net impact of these countervailing forces ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tennessee's historically low midterm turnout, often ranking near the bottom nationally with rates around 45% of eligible voters in recent cycles, anchors trader expectations near the 1.8M–2.6M range for the November 3, 2026, U.S. Senate contest. The open gubernatorial race provides a measurable lift compared to incumbent-held cycles, while the Hagerty-Bradshaw rematch and associated Democratic primary activity add modest contestation that typically raises participation by several points. Recent August primaries showed limited early voting, reinforcing caution around higher estimates, yet registration trends and extended early-voting windows could still expand the electorate. Tight clustering across adjacent buckets reflects uncertainty over the net impact of these countervailing forces ahead of the general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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