In New Hampshire’s open 2026 Senate race, a closely contested matchup between Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas and Republican John Sununu has kept expectations for total general-election turnout fluid, with multiple vote-range outcomes trading near even odds. The retirement of longtime Sen. Jeanne Shaheen removed an incumbent advantage that historically boosted participation, while the competitive general-election environment and high-profile candidates create incentives for strong mobilization on both sides. Primaries scheduled for September 8 remain the nearest catalyst that could clarify enthusiasm levels among key voting blocs and refine baseline projections. Absent major late-cycle events such as national economic shifts or unusually intense campaign spending, the race’s balanced polling averages leave turnout sensitive to standard factors including weather on November 3 and overall voter engagement in a midterm year.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於80萬+ 42%
少於50萬 42%
60萬-65萬 42%
65萬-70萬 42%
少於50萬
42%
50萬-55萬
41%
550K-600K
38%
60萬-65萬
42%
65萬-70萬
42%
70萬-75萬
42%
75萬-80萬
42%
80萬+
42%
80萬+ 42%
少於50萬 42%
60萬-65萬 42%
65萬-70萬 42%
少於50萬
42%
50萬-55萬
41%
550K-600K
38%
60萬-65萬
42%
65萬-70萬
42%
70萬-75萬
42%
75萬-80萬
42%
80萬+
42%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Aug 18, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In New Hampshire’s open 2026 Senate race, a closely contested matchup between Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas and Republican John Sununu has kept expectations for total general-election turnout fluid, with multiple vote-range outcomes trading near even odds. The retirement of longtime Sen. Jeanne Shaheen removed an incumbent advantage that historically boosted participation, while the competitive general-election environment and high-profile candidates create incentives for strong mobilization on both sides. Primaries scheduled for September 8 remain the nearest catalyst that could clarify enthusiasm levels among key voting blocs and refine baseline projections. Absent major late-cycle events such as national economic shifts or unusually intense campaign spending, the race’s balanced polling averages leave turnout sensitive to standard factors including weather on November 3 and overall voter engagement in a midterm year.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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