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政治·下午

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Italy?
政治·下午

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Giorgia Meloni 43%

西爾維婭·薩利斯 17.8%

Elly Schlein 17%

安傑洛·博內利 10.8%

Polymarket

$14,540 交易量

Giorgia Meloni 43%

西爾維婭·薩利斯 17.8%

Elly Schlein 17%

安傑洛·博內利 10.8%

Polymarket

$14,540 交易量

Giorgia Meloni

$3,482 交易量

43%

Elly Schlein

$712 交易量

17%

Giuseppe Conte

$984 交易量

9%

Antonio Tajani

$943 交易量

3%

Matteo Salvini

$1,264 交易量

2%

Guido Crosetto

$645 交易量

2%

Mario Draghi

$483 交易量

6%

西爾維婭·薩利斯

$2,127 交易量

18%

羅貝托·瓦納奇

$2,133 交易量

7%

馬泰奧·倫齊

$417 交易量

3%

安傑洛·博內利

$748 交易量

11%

卡洛·卡倫達

$602 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni remains the leading contender in trader assessments for Italy’s next prime minister, supported by her coalition’s parliamentary majority and decision to continue governing after the March 2026 judicial reform referendum defeat. That loss, which opposition parties framed as a verdict on her leadership, has opened space for center-left figures such as Silvia Salis, positioned by some as a moderate alternative, and Elly Schlein of the Democratic Party. Angelo Bonelli and Giuseppe Conte also draw support amid speculation about possible early elections or coalition realignments before the scheduled 2027 vote. Meloni’s government has now become the second-longest serving in the postwar republic, underscoring the stability that continues to underpin her odds despite the referendum setback.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$14,540
結束日期
2028-12-31
市場開放時間
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni remains the leading contender in trader assessments for Italy’s next prime minister, supported by her coalition’s parliamentary majority and decision to continue governing after the March 2026 judicial reform referendum defeat. That loss, which opposition parties framed as a verdict on her leadership, has opened space for center-left figures such as Silvia Salis, positioned by some as a moderate alternative, and Elly Schlein of the Democratic Party. Angelo Bonelli and Giuseppe Conte also draw support amid speculation about possible early elections or coalition realignments before the scheduled 2027 vote. Meloni’s government has now become the second-longest serving in the postwar republic, underscoring the stability that continues to underpin her odds despite the referendum setback.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$14,540
結束日期
2028-12-31
市場開放時間
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Italy?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Giorgia Meloni" at 43%, followed by "西爾維婭·薩利斯" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" has generated $14.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Italy?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" is "Giorgia Meloni" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "西爾維婭·薩利斯" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.