Incumbent Democratic Representative Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in Delaware’s at-large House contest, consistent with the state’s consistent Democratic lean in federal races and her 2024 victory margin exceeding 16 points. The seat carries a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and fundraising challenges ahead of the September 15 primaries. Multiple GOP candidates have entered the primary, but none have emerged as a significant threat, and one prior nominee withdrew. With the general election on November 3, 2026, trader consensus prices in the low single digits for Republicans align with Delaware’s electoral history and the absence of recent polling shifts or external events capable of narrowing the gap. Late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment remain the primary theoretical risks to the current positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$28,692 交易量
$28,692 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$28,692 交易量
$28,692 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
$5,250 交易量
95%
Republican Party
$23,443 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in Delaware’s at-large House contest, consistent with the state’s consistent Democratic lean in federal races and her 2024 victory margin exceeding 16 points. The seat carries a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and fundraising challenges ahead of the September 15 primaries. Multiple GOP candidates have entered the primary, but none have emerged as a significant threat, and one prior nominee withdrew. With the general election on November 3, 2026, trader consensus prices in the low single digits for Republicans align with Delaware’s electoral history and the absence of recent polling shifts or external events capable of narrowing the gap. Late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment remain the primary theoretical risks to the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$28,692結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in Delaware’s at-large House contest, consistent with the state’s consistent Democratic lean in federal races and her 2024 victory margin exceeding 16 points. The seat carries a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and fundraising challenges ahead of the September 15 primaries. Multiple GOP candidates have entered the primary, but none have emerged as a significant threat, and one prior nominee withdrew. With the general election on November 3, 2026, trader consensus prices in the low single digits for Republicans align with Delaware’s electoral history and the absence of recent polling shifts or external events capable of narrowing the gap. Late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment remain the primary theoretical risks to the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,692結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in Delaware’s at-large House contest, consistent with the state’s consistent Democratic lean in federal races and her 2024 victory margin exceeding 16 points. The seat carries a Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and fundraising challenges ahead of the September 15 primaries. Multiple GOP candidates have entered the primary, but none have emerged as a significant threat, and one prior nominee withdrew. With the general election on November 3, 2026, trader consensus prices in the low single digits for Republicans align with Delaware’s electoral history and the absence of recent polling shifts or external events capable of narrowing the gap. Late developments such as a major scandal or national political realignment remain the primary theoretical risks to the current positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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