Delaware's at-large House seat remains a strongly Democratic district, where incumbent Sarah McBride holds a commanding position ahead of the November 2026 general election. The state's consistent electoral patterns, combined with McBride's 2024 victory margin and unified party support for her re-election bid, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the odds. Republican primary candidates including Earl Cooper and others have not generated significant momentum or fundraising to suggest a viable challenge. With primaries scheduled for September 15, 2026, the race shows limited signs of competitiveness. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter the outcome before Election Day, though historical base rates for this seat indicate such shifts are uncommon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$20,572 交易量
$20,572 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$20,572 交易量
$20,572 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
$5,250 交易量
95%
Republican Party
$15,323 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware's at-large House seat remains a strongly Democratic district, where incumbent Sarah McBride holds a commanding position ahead of the November 2026 general election. The state's consistent electoral patterns, combined with McBride's 2024 victory margin and unified party support for her re-election bid, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the odds. Republican primary candidates including Earl Cooper and others have not generated significant momentum or fundraising to suggest a viable challenge. With primaries scheduled for September 15, 2026, the race shows limited signs of competitiveness. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter the outcome before Election Day, though historical base rates for this seat indicate such shifts are uncommon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$20,572結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware's at-large House seat remains a strongly Democratic district, where incumbent Sarah McBride holds a commanding position ahead of the November 2026 general election. The state's consistent electoral patterns, combined with McBride's 2024 victory margin and unified party support for her re-election bid, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the odds. Republican primary candidates including Earl Cooper and others have not generated significant momentum or fundraising to suggest a viable challenge. With primaries scheduled for September 15, 2026, the race shows limited signs of competitiveness. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter the outcome before Election Day, though historical base rates for this seat indicate such shifts are uncommon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,572結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware's at-large House seat remains a strongly Democratic district, where incumbent Sarah McBride holds a commanding position ahead of the November 2026 general election. The state's consistent electoral patterns, combined with McBride's 2024 victory margin and unified party support for her re-election bid, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the odds. Republican primary candidates including Earl Cooper and others have not generated significant momentum or fundraising to suggest a viable challenge. With primaries scheduled for September 15, 2026, the race shows limited signs of competitiveness. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter the outcome before Election Day, though historical base rates for this seat indicate such shifts are uncommon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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