Skip to main content

如需在美國交易，請前往 polymarket.us

icon for 喬治亞州參議院選舉的第一輪大勝利者？
政治·中期

喬治亞州參議院選舉的第一輪大勝利者？

icon for 喬治亞州參議院選舉的第一輪大勝利者？
政治·中期

喬治亞州參議院選舉的第一輪大勝利者？

是

96% 機率
Polymarket
最新

是

96% 機率
Polymarket
最新
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Senate election.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff holds a consistent polling lead over Republican nominee Rep. Mike Collins in the November 3, 2026, Georgia U.S. Senate race, with recent surveys showing Ossoff near or above 50% and Collins in the low-to-mid 40s amid single-digit support for minor candidates. Georgia law requires a majority for an outright win on the first ballot; otherwise the top two advance to a December 1 runoff. Trader consensus reflected in the 96% price for an outright winner aligns with Ossoff’s structural advantages as incumbent in a state where Democrats have outperformed in recent Senate contests, combined with limited evidence of late momentum shifts for Collins following the June Republican primary runoff. Key variables that could still alter the outcome include turnout differentials, undecided voter consolidation, or unexpected campaign developments in the final weeks before Election Day.

The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Senate election.
交易量
$169
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Senate election.
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Senate election.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff holds a consistent polling lead over Republican nominee Rep. Mike Collins in the November 3, 2026, Georgia U.S. Senate race, with recent surveys showing Ossoff near or above 50% and Collins in the low-to-mid 40s amid single-digit support for minor candidates. Georgia law requires a majority for an outright win on the first ballot; otherwise the top two advance to a December 1 runoff. Trader consensus reflected in the 96% price for an outright winner aligns with Ossoff’s structural advantages as incumbent in a state where Democrats have outperformed in recent Senate contests, combined with limited evidence of late momentum shifts for Collins following the June Republican primary runoff. Key variables that could still alter the outcome include turnout differentials, undecided voter consolidation, or unexpected campaign developments in the final weeks before Election Day.

The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Senate election.
交易量
$169
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm Georgia Senate election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the Georgia Senate election.

相關

icon for 喬治亞州州長選舉第一輪的最終獲勝者是誰？

喬治亞州州長選舉第一輪的最終獲勝者是誰？

90%
是
icon for GA-06眾議院選舉首輪直接勝出者是誰？

GA-06眾議院選舉首輪直接勝出者是誰？

97%
是
icon for 喬治亞州第1國會選區眾議院選舉首輪直接勝出者是誰？

喬治亞州第1國會選區眾議院選舉首輪直接勝出者是誰？

73%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"喬治亞州參議院選舉的第一輪大勝利者？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "喬治亞州參議院選舉首輪直接勝出者？" at 96%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"喬治亞州參議院選舉的第一輪大勝利者？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "喬治亞州參議院選舉的第一輪大勝利者？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "喬治亞州參議院選舉的第一輪大勝利者？" is "喬治亞州參議院選舉首輪直接勝出者？" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "喬治亞州參議院選舉的第一輪大勝利者？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.