Tennessee's solidly Republican political environment, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent federal elections, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 U.S. Senate race. Incumbent Bill Hagerty secured his party's nomination without opposition in the August 6 primary, positioning him as the clear frontrunner against Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, who won her party's nomination in a rematch of the 2020 contest. Forecasts rate the seat as safe or solid Republican, with no competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments altering the baseline since the primaries concluded. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national partisan swing, an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in urban areas, though structural factors such as voter registration advantages and past electoral results limit the realistic scope for an upset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$25,754 交易量
$25,754 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
96%
民主黨
2%
$25,754 交易量
$25,754 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$15,890 交易量
96%
民主黨
$9,864 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's solidly Republican political environment, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent federal elections, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 U.S. Senate race. Incumbent Bill Hagerty secured his party's nomination without opposition in the August 6 primary, positioning him as the clear frontrunner against Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, who won her party's nomination in a rematch of the 2020 contest. Forecasts rate the seat as safe or solid Republican, with no competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments altering the baseline since the primaries concluded. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national partisan swing, an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in urban areas, though structural factors such as voter registration advantages and past electoral results limit the realistic scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$25,754結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's solidly Republican political environment, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent federal elections, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 U.S. Senate race. Incumbent Bill Hagerty secured his party's nomination without opposition in the August 6 primary, positioning him as the clear frontrunner against Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, who won her party's nomination in a rematch of the 2020 contest. Forecasts rate the seat as safe or solid Republican, with no competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments altering the baseline since the primaries concluded. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national partisan swing, an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in urban areas, though structural factors such as voter registration advantages and past electoral results limit the realistic scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$25,754結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's solidly Republican political environment, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent federal elections, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 U.S. Senate race. Incumbent Bill Hagerty secured his party's nomination without opposition in the August 6 primary, positioning him as the clear frontrunner against Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, who won her party's nomination in a rematch of the 2020 contest. Forecasts rate the seat as safe or solid Republican, with no competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments altering the baseline since the primaries concluded. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national partisan swing, an unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in urban areas, though structural factors such as voter registration advantages and past electoral results limit the realistic scope for an upset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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