The Latvian parliamentary election on October 3 features a highly fragmented field where recent polls show several parties clustered in the mid-teens for vote share, including Apvienotais saraksts, Latvija pirmajā vietā, Suverēnā vara, and Progresīvie, with no consistent leader emerging. This volatility stems from dissatisfaction with the incumbent three-party coalition's handling of defense spending, infrastructure projects, and economic pressures, alongside the 5% entry threshold that amplifies small shifts in turnout or late swings. Trader consensus prices reflect broad uncertainty over second place, as multiple viable contenders could claim it depending on final mobilization of swing voters and coalition negotiations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於SV 39%
LA 39%
ST! 39%
LPV 38%
最新
最新
2026-10-03
SV
39%
LA
39%
ST!
39%
LPV
38%
JKP
38%
AS
38%
PRO
38%
SC
38%
GS
38%
ASL
37%
NA
17%
MMN
16%
ZZS
16%
JV
16%
SV 39%
LA 39%
ST! 39%
LPV 38%
最新
最新
2026-10-03
SV
$0 交易量
39%
LA
$0 交易量
39%
ST!
$0 交易量
39%
LPV
$0 交易量
38%
JKP
$29 交易量
38%
AS
$0 交易量
38%
PRO
$0 交易量
38%
SC
$0 交易量
38%
GS
$28 交易量
38%
ASL
$26 交易量
37%
NA
$0 交易量
17%
MMN
$0 交易量
16%
ZZS
$0 交易量
16%
JV
$0 交易量
16%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).The Latvian parliamentary election on October 3 features a highly fragmented field where recent polls show several parties clustered in the mid-teens for vote share, including Apvienotais saraksts, Latvija pirmajā vietā, Suverēnā vara, and Progresīvie, with no consistent leader emerging. This volatility stems from dissatisfaction with the incumbent three-party coalition's handling of defense spending, infrastructure projects, and economic pressures, alongside the 5% entry threshold that amplifies small shifts in turnout or late swings. Trader consensus prices reflect broad uncertainty over second place, as multiple viable contenders could claim it depending on final mobilization of swing voters and coalition negotiations.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET
交易量
$83結束日期
2026-10-03市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).The Latvian parliamentary election on October 3 features a highly fragmented field where recent polls show several parties clustered in the mid-teens for vote share, including Apvienotais saraksts, Latvija pirmajā vietā, Suverēnā vara, and Progresīvie, with no consistent leader emerging. This volatility stems from dissatisfaction with the incumbent three-party coalition's handling of defense spending, infrastructure projects, and economic pressures, alongside the 5% entry threshold that amplifies small shifts in turnout or late swings. Trader consensus prices reflect broad uncertainty over second place, as multiple viable contenders could claim it depending on final mobilization of swing voters and coalition negotiations.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
交易量
$83結束日期
2026-10-03市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Latvian parliamentary election on October 3 features a highly fragmented field where recent polls show several parties clustered in the mid-teens for vote share, including Apvienotais saraksts, Latvija pirmajā vietā, Suverēnā vara, and Progresīvie, with no consistent leader emerging. This volatility stems from dissatisfaction with the incumbent three-party coalition's handling of defense spending, infrastructure projects, and economic pressures, alongside the 5% entry threshold that amplifies small shifts in turnout or late swings. Trader consensus prices reflect broad uncertainty over second place, as multiple viable contenders could claim it depending on final mobilization of swing voters and coalition negotiations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions