Recent Swedish opinion polls show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead around 32 percent ahead of the September 2026 parliamentary election, positioning them for first place. The Sweden Democrats trail in second at roughly 20 percent, ahead of the Moderates near 17 percent, reflecting sustained support for the former amid ongoing debates over immigration, crime, and economic policy. This ordering has held steady in multiple surveys through July, with minor fluctuations but no decisive shifts that would alter the ranking. Traders therefore assign an overwhelming probability to the Sweden Democrats finishing second, consistent with the current vote-intention trends and the structure of Sweden’s proportional electoral system.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Sweden Democrats (SD) 85%
Moderate Party (M) 15%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.9%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$30,217 交易量
$30,217 交易量

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
85%

Moderate Party (M)
15%

Centre Party (C)
<1%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
<1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 85%
Moderate Party (M) 15%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.9%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$30,217 交易量
$30,217 交易量

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
85%

Moderate Party (M)
15%

Centre Party (C)
<1%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
<1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市場開放時間: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish opinion polls show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead around 32 percent ahead of the September 2026 parliamentary election, positioning them for first place. The Sweden Democrats trail in second at roughly 20 percent, ahead of the Moderates near 17 percent, reflecting sustained support for the former amid ongoing debates over immigration, crime, and economic policy. This ordering has held steady in multiple surveys through July, with minor fluctuations but no decisive shifts that would alter the ranking. Traders therefore assign an overwhelming probability to the Sweden Democrats finishing second, consistent with the current vote-intention trends and the structure of Sweden’s proportional electoral system.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions