Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026, Riksdag election shows the Social Democrats holding a clear lead near 33 percent, with the Sweden Democrats and Moderates clustered in the high teens. This ordering leaves the Moderate Party (M) as the consensus favorite for third place, supported by its role as the lead governing party under the Tidö framework and steady bloc positioning. The Sweden Democrats (SD) remain the main alternative, buoyed by sustained support on migration and security issues and Prime Minister Kristersson’s April statements signaling closer formal cooperation. Smaller parties trail well behind, with limited movement in the latest surveys from SCB, Ipsos, and others. Traders price in the possibility of late campaign shifts but view the current gap between M and SD as the decisive dynamic.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Moderate Party (M) 55%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 37%
Green Party (MP) 1.9%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.8%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
37%

Moderate Party (M)
55%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
2%

Christian Democrats (KD)
1%

Green Party (MP)
2%

Liberals (L)
1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
Moderate Party (M) 55%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 37%
Green Party (MP) 1.9%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1.8%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
37%

Moderate Party (M)
55%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
2%

Christian Democrats (KD)
1%

Green Party (MP)
2%

Liberals (L)
1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市場開放時間: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026, Riksdag election shows the Social Democrats holding a clear lead near 33 percent, with the Sweden Democrats and Moderates clustered in the high teens. This ordering leaves the Moderate Party (M) as the consensus favorite for third place, supported by its role as the lead governing party under the Tidö framework and steady bloc positioning. The Sweden Democrats (SD) remain the main alternative, buoyed by sustained support on migration and security issues and Prime Minister Kristersson’s April statements signaling closer formal cooperation. Smaller parties trail well behind, with limited movement in the latest surveys from SCB, Ipsos, and others. Traders price in the possibility of late campaign shifts but view the current gap between M and SD as the decisive dynamic.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions