Recent polls ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32-34%, with the Sweden Democrats holding second place around 19-20%. The Moderate Party trails in the low-to-mid teens, positioning it for third. This ordering has remained stable through mid-2026 surveys from SCB, Novus, and others, reflecting the centre-left opposition's sustained advantage and limited momentum shifts among the Tidö parties. The Moderates' position as the largest governing party has not translated into polling gains sufficient to overtake the Sweden Democrats, while smaller parties show negligible support for a top-three finish. Trader consensus aligns with these trends, pricing in the likelihood that late-campaign developments would need to be substantial to alter the current hierarchy before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Moderate Party (M) 84%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 15%
Green Party (MP) 1.2%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$24,683 交易量
$24,683 交易量

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
15%

Moderate Party (M)
84%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 84%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 15%
Green Party (MP) 1.2%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$24,683 交易量
$24,683 交易量

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
15%

Moderate Party (M)
84%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市場開放時間: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32-34%, with the Sweden Democrats holding second place around 19-20%. The Moderate Party trails in the low-to-mid teens, positioning it for third. This ordering has remained stable through mid-2026 surveys from SCB, Novus, and others, reflecting the centre-left opposition's sustained advantage and limited momentum shifts among the Tidö parties. The Moderates' position as the largest governing party has not translated into polling gains sufficient to overtake the Sweden Democrats, while smaller parties show negligible support for a top-three finish. Trader consensus aligns with these trends, pricing in the likelihood that late-campaign developments would need to be substantial to alter the current hierarchy before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions