The crowded field of over two dozen declared or potential candidates for the 2027 Campeche governorship keeps individual probabilities dispersed, with no one exceeding 40 percent in current trader pricing. Recent polls show Morena holding a modest party-level lead near 40 percent, while Movimiento Ciudadano trails in the high 20s, buoyed by the strong local approval of municipal president Biby Rabelo de la Torre. Early positioning ahead of party nominations, combined with a fragmented opposition that includes figures from PRI and other parties, sustains the competitive balance. Upcoming internal selection processes and additional surveys through late 2026 could consolidate support or expose vulnerabilities that shift the implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Yolanda Valladares Valle 25%
Ariana Rejón Lara 22%
Dulce Dorantes Cervera 19%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar 15%

Yolanda Valladares Valle
25%

Ariana Rejón Lara
22%

Dulce Dorantes Cervera
19%

Eliseo Fernández Montúfar
15%

Daniel Barreda Pavón
15%

Ricardo Medina Farfán
15%

Rosario Cruz Hernández
14%

Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora
13%

Liz Hernández Romero
9%

Biby Rabelo de la Torre
9%

Armando Toledo Jamit
8%

Carlos Ucán Yam
19%

Laura Baqueiro Ramos
19%

Rocío Abreu Artiñano
20%

Gerardo Sánchez Sansores
22%

Emilio Lara Calderón
21%

Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus
34%

Aníbal Ostoa Ortega
34%

Martina Kantún Can
36%

Andrés Fernández del Valle
36%

Christian Castro Bello
35%

Pablo Angulo Briceño
33%

Nelly Márquez Zapata
36%

Salvador Farías González
32%

Francisco Farías Bailón
34%

Paul Arce Ontiveros
34%
Yolanda Valladares Valle 25%
Ariana Rejón Lara 22%
Dulce Dorantes Cervera 19%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar 15%

Yolanda Valladares Valle
25%

Ariana Rejón Lara
22%

Dulce Dorantes Cervera
19%

Eliseo Fernández Montúfar
15%

Daniel Barreda Pavón
15%

Ricardo Medina Farfán
15%

Rosario Cruz Hernández
14%

Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora
13%

Liz Hernández Romero
9%

Biby Rabelo de la Torre
9%

Armando Toledo Jamit
8%

Carlos Ucán Yam
19%

Laura Baqueiro Ramos
19%

Rocío Abreu Artiñano
20%

Gerardo Sánchez Sansores
22%

Emilio Lara Calderón
21%

Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus
34%

Aníbal Ostoa Ortega
34%

Martina Kantún Can
36%

Andrés Fernández del Valle
36%

Christian Castro Bello
35%

Pablo Angulo Briceño
33%

Nelly Márquez Zapata
36%

Salvador Farías González
32%

Francisco Farías Bailón
34%

Paul Arce Ontiveros
34%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 7:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field of over two dozen declared or potential candidates for the 2027 Campeche governorship keeps individual probabilities dispersed, with no one exceeding 40 percent in current trader pricing. Recent polls show Morena holding a modest party-level lead near 40 percent, while Movimiento Ciudadano trails in the high 20s, buoyed by the strong local approval of municipal president Biby Rabelo de la Torre. Early positioning ahead of party nominations, combined with a fragmented opposition that includes figures from PRI and other parties, sustains the competitive balance. Upcoming internal selection processes and additional surveys through late 2026 could consolidate support or expose vulnerabilities that shift the implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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