The Illinois 5th congressional district’s pronounced Democratic tilt, anchored in its Chicago urban core and surrounding suburbs, accounts for the commanding market consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Consistent historical voting patterns, high Democratic registration advantages, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or disruptive primaries have kept probabilities stable in recent weeks. No major candidate announcements, polling shifts, or national developments have altered this trajectory ahead of the November general election. Outcomes could still shift in the event of an unexpected primary upset, late-breaking scandal involving the leading candidate, or an unprecedented national wave favoring Republicans, though such developments have rarely overcome the district’s structural Democratic edge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
95%
共和黨
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
$3,244 交易量
95%
共和黨
$1,491 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 5th congressional district’s pronounced Democratic tilt, anchored in its Chicago urban core and surrounding suburbs, accounts for the commanding market consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Consistent historical voting patterns, high Democratic registration advantages, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or disruptive primaries have kept probabilities stable in recent weeks. No major candidate announcements, polling shifts, or national developments have altered this trajectory ahead of the November general election. Outcomes could still shift in the event of an unexpected primary upset, late-breaking scandal involving the leading candidate, or an unprecedented national wave favoring Republicans, though such developments have rarely overcome the district’s structural Democratic edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$4,734結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 5th congressional district’s pronounced Democratic tilt, anchored in its Chicago urban core and surrounding suburbs, accounts for the commanding market consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Consistent historical voting patterns, high Democratic registration advantages, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or disruptive primaries have kept probabilities stable in recent weeks. No major candidate announcements, polling shifts, or national developments have altered this trajectory ahead of the November general election. Outcomes could still shift in the event of an unexpected primary upset, late-breaking scandal involving the leading candidate, or an unprecedented national wave favoring Republicans, though such developments have rarely overcome the district’s structural Democratic edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,734結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 5th congressional district’s pronounced Democratic tilt, anchored in its Chicago urban core and surrounding suburbs, accounts for the commanding market consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Consistent historical voting patterns, high Democratic registration advantages, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or disruptive primaries have kept probabilities stable in recent weeks. No major candidate announcements, polling shifts, or national developments have altered this trajectory ahead of the November general election. Outcomes could still shift in the event of an unexpected primary upset, late-breaking scandal involving the leading candidate, or an unprecedented national wave favoring Republicans, though such developments have rarely overcome the district’s structural Democratic edge.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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