Incumbent Democrat André Carson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Indiana's 7th congressional district, which encompasses most of Indianapolis and carries a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in prior election margins exceeding 30 points. Republican nominee Patrick McAuley faces the structural challenges of competing in this urban, majority-Democratic territory where voter turnout patterns and historical results favor the incumbent. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 95% aligns with these fundamentals, including Carson's extended tenure and the absence of notable Republican momentum since primaries concluded. Shifts could occur from late developments such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican performance altering turnout in the final weeks before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$20,093 交易量
$20,093 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
96%
共和黨
6%
$20,093 交易量
$20,093 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$7,947 交易量
96%
共和黨
$12,145 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat André Carson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Indiana's 7th congressional district, which encompasses most of Indianapolis and carries a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in prior election margins exceeding 30 points. Republican nominee Patrick McAuley faces the structural challenges of competing in this urban, majority-Democratic territory where voter turnout patterns and historical results favor the incumbent. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 95% aligns with these fundamentals, including Carson's extended tenure and the absence of notable Republican momentum since primaries concluded. Shifts could occur from late developments such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican performance altering turnout in the final weeks before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$20,093結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat André Carson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Indiana's 7th congressional district, which encompasses most of Indianapolis and carries a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in prior election margins exceeding 30 points. Republican nominee Patrick McAuley faces the structural challenges of competing in this urban, majority-Democratic territory where voter turnout patterns and historical results favor the incumbent. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 95% aligns with these fundamentals, including Carson's extended tenure and the absence of notable Republican momentum since primaries concluded. Shifts could occur from late developments such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican performance altering turnout in the final weeks before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,093結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat André Carson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Indiana's 7th congressional district, which encompasses most of Indianapolis and carries a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in prior election margins exceeding 30 points. Republican nominee Patrick McAuley faces the structural challenges of competing in this urban, majority-Democratic territory where voter turnout patterns and historical results favor the incumbent. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 95% aligns with these fundamentals, including Carson's extended tenure and the absence of notable Republican momentum since primaries concluded. Shifts could occur from late developments such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican performance altering turnout in the final weeks before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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