The open seat created by longtime Democratic incumbent Frederica Wilson’s May 2026 retirement has not altered the underlying dynamics of Florida’s 24th congressional district, a Miami-area constituency with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+18 and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent federal contests. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the August primary, ensuring the nominee will face minimal general-election opposition in a district where registered Democrats hold a substantial edge and Republican performance has historically lagged. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the party above 94 percent. A realistic shift would require either an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or a national political environment that produces unprecedented Republican gains in deep-blue urban seats.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於FL-24 House Election Winner
FL-24 House Election Winner
$23,374 交易量
$23,374 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
4%
$23,374 交易量
$23,374 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
$9,147 交易量
96%
Republican Party
$14,227 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by longtime Democratic incumbent Frederica Wilson’s May 2026 retirement has not altered the underlying dynamics of Florida’s 24th congressional district, a Miami-area constituency with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+18 and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent federal contests. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the August primary, ensuring the nominee will face minimal general-election opposition in a district where registered Democrats hold a substantial edge and Republican performance has historically lagged. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the party above 94 percent. A realistic shift would require either an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or a national political environment that produces unprecedented Republican gains in deep-blue urban seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$23,374結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by longtime Democratic incumbent Frederica Wilson’s May 2026 retirement has not altered the underlying dynamics of Florida’s 24th congressional district, a Miami-area constituency with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+18 and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent federal contests. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the August primary, ensuring the nominee will face minimal general-election opposition in a district where registered Democrats hold a substantial edge and Republican performance has historically lagged. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the party above 94 percent. A realistic shift would require either an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or a national political environment that produces unprecedented Republican gains in deep-blue urban seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$23,374結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by longtime Democratic incumbent Frederica Wilson’s May 2026 retirement has not altered the underlying dynamics of Florida’s 24th congressional district, a Miami-area constituency with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+18 and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent federal contests. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the August primary, ensuring the nominee will face minimal general-election opposition in a district where registered Democrats hold a substantial edge and Republican performance has historically lagged. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the party above 94 percent. A realistic shift would require either an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or a national political environment that produces unprecedented Republican gains in deep-blue urban seats.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions