Incumbent Ro Khanna secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 62 percent of the vote and now faces Republican Ritesh Tandon in the November general election for California's 17th congressional district. The seat's partisan voting index and consistent past results exceeding 67 percent for Democrats underpin the current trader consensus of a 95 percent probability for the Democratic outcome. Tandon advanced with roughly 15 percent in the primary, reflecting limited support in a district where Democratic registration and voting patterns have produced large margins in prior cycles. A significant shift would require an unprecedented national Republican surge, a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent, or turnout anomalies far outside historical norms for this safely Democratic district.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$12,768 交易量
$12,768 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
95%
共和黨
3%
$12,768 交易量
$12,768 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$10,272 交易量
95%
共和黨
$2,495 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ro Khanna secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 62 percent of the vote and now faces Republican Ritesh Tandon in the November general election for California's 17th congressional district. The seat's partisan voting index and consistent past results exceeding 67 percent for Democrats underpin the current trader consensus of a 95 percent probability for the Democratic outcome. Tandon advanced with roughly 15 percent in the primary, reflecting limited support in a district where Democratic registration and voting patterns have produced large margins in prior cycles. A significant shift would require an unprecedented national Republican surge, a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent, or turnout anomalies far outside historical norms for this safely Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
交易量
$12,768結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ro Khanna secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 62 percent of the vote and now faces Republican Ritesh Tandon in the November general election for California's 17th congressional district. The seat's partisan voting index and consistent past results exceeding 67 percent for Democrats underpin the current trader consensus of a 95 percent probability for the Democratic outcome. Tandon advanced with roughly 15 percent in the primary, reflecting limited support in a district where Democratic registration and voting patterns have produced large margins in prior cycles. A significant shift would require an unprecedented national Republican surge, a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent, or turnout anomalies far outside historical norms for this safely Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,768結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ro Khanna secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 62 percent of the vote and now faces Republican Ritesh Tandon in the November general election for California's 17th congressional district. The seat's partisan voting index and consistent past results exceeding 67 percent for Democrats underpin the current trader consensus of a 95 percent probability for the Democratic outcome. Tandon advanced with roughly 15 percent in the primary, reflecting limited support in a district where Democratic registration and voting patterns have produced large margins in prior cycles. A significant shift would require an unprecedented national Republican surge, a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent, or turnout anomalies far outside historical norms for this safely Democratic district.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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