California's 36th congressional district, encompassing parts of Los Angeles County including the South Bay and Westside, maintains a substantial Democratic registration edge and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote against Republican Houston Brignano, who finished second. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, limited Republican fundraising, and the absence of competitive polling. A late scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the district's baseline lean make such shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$34,993 交易量
$34,993 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
95%
共和黨
5%
$34,993 交易量
$34,993 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$6,049 交易量
95%
共和黨
$28,944 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 36th congressional district, encompassing parts of Los Angeles County including the South Bay and Westside, maintains a substantial Democratic registration edge and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote against Republican Houston Brignano, who finished second. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, limited Republican fundraising, and the absence of competitive polling. A late scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the district's baseline lean make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$34,993結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 36th congressional district, encompassing parts of Los Angeles County including the South Bay and Westside, maintains a substantial Democratic registration edge and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote against Republican Houston Brignano, who finished second. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, limited Republican fundraising, and the absence of competitive polling. A late scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the district's baseline lean make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,993結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCalifornia's 36th congressional district, encompassing parts of Los Angeles County including the South Bay and Westside, maintains a substantial Democratic registration edge and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote against Republican Houston Brignano, who finished second. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, limited Republican fundraising, and the absence of competitive polling. A late scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the district's baseline lean make such shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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