Democratic incumbent Norma Torres holds a commanding lead in California's 35th congressional district, reflected in the 94.5% market price for her party. The district carries a D+6 partisan voter index and spans portions of Los Angeles, Riverside, and San Bernardino counties with a clear Democratic registration edge. Torres advanced comfortably through the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 59.5% of the vote against Republican Mike Cargile, who received 40.4%. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Torres's prior reelection margins and her substantial fundraising advantage. Trader consensus therefore treats a Democratic hold as highly probable ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to major late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political shift producing unusually high Republican turnout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$36,245 交易量
$36,245 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
95%
共和黨
3%
$36,245 交易量
$36,245 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$20,423 交易量
95%
共和黨
$15,823 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Norma Torres holds a commanding lead in California's 35th congressional district, reflected in the 94.5% market price for her party. The district carries a D+6 partisan voter index and spans portions of Los Angeles, Riverside, and San Bernardino counties with a clear Democratic registration edge. Torres advanced comfortably through the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 59.5% of the vote against Republican Mike Cargile, who received 40.4%. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Torres's prior reelection margins and her substantial fundraising advantage. Trader consensus therefore treats a Democratic hold as highly probable ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to major late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political shift producing unusually high Republican turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$36,245結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Norma Torres holds a commanding lead in California's 35th congressional district, reflected in the 94.5% market price for her party. The district carries a D+6 partisan voter index and spans portions of Los Angeles, Riverside, and San Bernardino counties with a clear Democratic registration edge. Torres advanced comfortably through the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 59.5% of the vote against Republican Mike Cargile, who received 40.4%. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Torres's prior reelection margins and her substantial fundraising advantage. Trader consensus therefore treats a Democratic hold as highly probable ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to major late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political shift producing unusually high Republican turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$36,245結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETDemocratic incumbent Norma Torres holds a commanding lead in California's 35th congressional district, reflected in the 94.5% market price for her party. The district carries a D+6 partisan voter index and spans portions of Los Angeles, Riverside, and San Bernardino counties with a clear Democratic registration edge. Torres advanced comfortably through the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 59.5% of the vote against Republican Mike Cargile, who received 40.4%. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Torres's prior reelection margins and her substantial fundraising advantage. Trader consensus therefore treats a Democratic hold as highly probable ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to major late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political shift producing unusually high Republican turnout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions