Incumbent Claudia Tenney maintains a commanding position in New York’s 24th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat’s consistent Republican lean and her prior victories by wide margins. The Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the district solidly Republican, reflecting its rural and suburban composition across the Finger Lakes and western New York counties. Tenney’s substantial fundraising advantage and uncontested Republican primary have reinforced trader expectations of continuity. Alissa Ellman, the Democratic nominee and Army veteran who won her June primary, centers her campaign on affordability, energy costs, and veterans’ issues, yet faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. A national political shift, late-breaking controversy, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current indicators point to limited volatility before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$20,577 交易量
$20,577 交易量
2026-11-02
克勞迪婭·特尼（共和黨）
93%
艾莉莎·艾爾曼（民主黨）
8%
$20,577 交易量
$20,577 交易量
2026-11-02
克勞迪婭·特尼（共和黨）
$10,938 交易量
93%
艾莉莎·艾爾曼（民主黨）
$9,639 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Claudia Tenney maintains a commanding position in New York’s 24th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat’s consistent Republican lean and her prior victories by wide margins. The Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the district solidly Republican, reflecting its rural and suburban composition across the Finger Lakes and western New York counties. Tenney’s substantial fundraising advantage and uncontested Republican primary have reinforced trader expectations of continuity. Alissa Ellman, the Democratic nominee and Army veteran who won her June primary, centers her campaign on affordability, energy costs, and veterans’ issues, yet faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. A national political shift, late-breaking controversy, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current indicators point to limited volatility before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$20,577結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Claudia Tenney maintains a commanding position in New York’s 24th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat’s consistent Republican lean and her prior victories by wide margins. The Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the district solidly Republican, reflecting its rural and suburban composition across the Finger Lakes and western New York counties. Tenney’s substantial fundraising advantage and uncontested Republican primary have reinforced trader expectations of continuity. Alissa Ellman, the Democratic nominee and Army veteran who won her June primary, centers her campaign on affordability, energy costs, and veterans’ issues, yet faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. A national political shift, late-breaking controversy, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current indicators point to limited volatility before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,577結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Claudia Tenney maintains a commanding position in New York’s 24th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat’s consistent Republican lean and her prior victories by wide margins. The Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the district solidly Republican, reflecting its rural and suburban composition across the Finger Lakes and western New York counties. Tenney’s substantial fundraising advantage and uncontested Republican primary have reinforced trader expectations of continuity. Alissa Ellman, the Democratic nominee and Army veteran who won her June primary, centers her campaign on affordability, energy costs, and veterans’ issues, yet faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. A national political shift, late-breaking controversy, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current indicators point to limited volatility before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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