**Election day is October 27, 2026, under Israel’s proportional representation system requiring parties to clear the 3.25% national threshold for Knesset seats.** Thirty-eight lists were submitted by the early September deadline following the Knesset’s full-term dissolution in July. Recent polling averages show established parties—Likud, Yashar, Together, The Democrats, ultra-Orthodox lists (Shas, UTJ), Otzma Yehudit, Yisrael Beiteinu, the Joint List, Ra’am, and Religious Zionism-Zehut—projected well above the threshold with 5–24 seats each. Smaller or newer lists, including Amcha Israel (Ofer Winter) and the Reservists-Economic Party (Hendel-Zelekha), fluctuate near or below the line across surveys, with outcomes sensitive to late shifts in turnout or vote splitting. Surplus-vote agreements among several pairs could influence final mandate allocation but not initial entry. The next five weeks of campaigning will determine which marginal lists secure representation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-11-30
Ra'am
89%
RZP-Zehut
87%
Amcha Yisrael
59%
後備軍人與新經濟黨
20%
藍與白黨
12%
$3,426 交易量
Ra'am
$322 交易量
89%
RZP-Zehut
$1,712 交易量
87%
Amcha Yisrael
$341 交易量
59%
後備軍人與新經濟黨
$682 交易量
20%
藍與白黨
$369 交易量
12%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Election day is October 27, 2026, under Israel’s proportional representation system requiring parties to clear the 3.25% national threshold for Knesset seats.** Thirty-eight lists were submitted by the early September deadline following the Knesset’s full-term dissolution in July. Recent polling averages show established parties—Likud, Yashar, Together, The Democrats, ultra-Orthodox lists (Shas, UTJ), Otzma Yehudit, Yisrael Beiteinu, the Joint List, Ra’am, and Religious Zionism-Zehut—projected well above the threshold with 5–24 seats each. Smaller or newer lists, including Amcha Israel (Ofer Winter) and the Reservists-Economic Party (Hendel-Zelekha), fluctuate near or below the line across surveys, with outcomes sensitive to late shifts in turnout or vote splitting. Surplus-vote agreements among several pairs could influence final mandate allocation but not initial entry. The next five weeks of campaigning will determine which marginal lists secure representation.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
交易量
$3,426結束日期
2026-10-27市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Election day is October 27, 2026, under Israel’s proportional representation system requiring parties to clear the 3.25% national threshold for Knesset seats.** Thirty-eight lists were submitted by the early September deadline following the Knesset’s full-term dissolution in July. Recent polling averages show established parties—Likud, Yashar, Together, The Democrats, ultra-Orthodox lists (Shas, UTJ), Otzma Yehudit, Yisrael Beiteinu, the Joint List, Ra’am, and Religious Zionism-Zehut—projected well above the threshold with 5–24 seats each. Smaller or newer lists, including Amcha Israel (Ofer Winter) and the Reservists-Economic Party (Hendel-Zelekha), fluctuate near or below the line across surveys, with outcomes sensitive to late shifts in turnout or vote splitting. Surplus-vote agreements among several pairs could influence final mandate allocation but not initial entry. The next five weeks of campaigning will determine which marginal lists secure representation.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
交易量
$3,426結束日期
2026-10-27市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ET**Election day is October 27, 2026, under Israel’s proportional representation system requiring parties to clear the 3.25% national threshold for Knesset seats.** Thirty-eight lists were submitted by the early September deadline following the Knesset’s full-term dissolution in July. Recent polling averages show established parties—Likud, Yashar, Together, The Democrats, ultra-Orthodox lists (Shas, UTJ), Otzma Yehudit, Yisrael Beiteinu, the Joint List, Ra’am, and Religious Zionism-Zehut—projected well above the threshold with 5–24 seats each. Smaller or newer lists, including Amcha Israel (Ofer Winter) and the Reservists-Economic Party (Hendel-Zelekha), fluctuate near or below the line across surveys, with outcomes sensitive to late shifts in turnout or vote splitting. Surplus-vote agreements among several pairs could influence final mandate allocation but not initial entry. The next five weeks of campaigning will determine which marginal lists secure representation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions