Recent candidate declarations and the exclusion of Philippe Brun have left a five-way field for the October 9–10 first round of the Parti Socialiste–Place Publique–Gauche républicaine et socialiste primary. Raphaël Glucksmann leads internal and broader polling, yet the fragmented lineup—including Olivier Faure, Ségolène Royal, Jérôme Guedj, and Emmanuel Maurel—makes an outright majority improbable under the two-round electronic voting rules. Three scheduled debates and the closed electorate of paid-up militants plus new 15-euro adherents further support expectations of a runoff on October 16–17. Traders price the consensus that no single contender will clear 50 percent on the initial ballot.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
30% 機率
最新
最新
2026-10-10
是
30% 機率
最新
最新
2026-10-10
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.Recent candidate declarations and the exclusion of Philippe Brun have left a five-way field for the October 9–10 first round of the Parti Socialiste–Place Publique–Gauche républicaine et socialiste primary. Raphaël Glucksmann leads internal and broader polling, yet the fragmented lineup—including Olivier Faure, Ségolène Royal, Jérôme Guedj, and Emmanuel Maurel—makes an outright majority improbable under the two-round electronic voting rules. Three scheduled debates and the closed electorate of paid-up militants plus new 15-euro adherents further support expectations of a runoff on October 16–17. Traders price the consensus that no single contender will clear 50 percent on the initial ballot.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
交易量
$595結束日期
2026-10-10市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 6:30 PM ETThe Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.Recent candidate declarations and the exclusion of Philippe Brun have left a five-way field for the October 9–10 first round of the Parti Socialiste–Place Publique–Gauche républicaine et socialiste primary. Raphaël Glucksmann leads internal and broader polling, yet the fragmented lineup—including Olivier Faure, Ségolène Royal, Jérôme Guedj, and Emmanuel Maurel—makes an outright majority improbable under the two-round electronic voting rules. Three scheduled debates and the closed electorate of paid-up militants plus new 15-euro adherents further support expectations of a runoff on October 16–17. Traders price the consensus that no single contender will clear 50 percent on the initial ballot.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
交易量
$595結束日期
2026-10-10市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 6:30 PM ETRecent candidate declarations and the exclusion of Philippe Brun have left a five-way field for the October 9–10 first round of the Parti Socialiste–Place Publique–Gauche républicaine et socialiste primary. Raphaël Glucksmann leads internal and broader polling, yet the fragmented lineup—including Olivier Faure, Ségolène Royal, Jérôme Guedj, and Emmanuel Maurel—makes an outright majority improbable under the two-round electronic voting rules. Three scheduled debates and the closed electorate of paid-up militants plus new 15-euro adherents further support expectations of a runoff on October 16–17. Traders price the consensus that no single contender will clear 50 percent on the initial ballot.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions