Raphaël Glucksmann holds the strongest position among declared contenders for the first round of the October 9-10 primary, which will select the social-democratic candidate for the 2027 presidential election through an electronic vote open to PS and Place Publique members plus paying sympathizers. His lead stems from consistent polling strength for the general election, his European Parliament profile, and the July militant decision to limit the electorate to the narrower "pôle socialiste" rather than a broader left contest. Olivier Faure, Jérôme Guedj, Philippe Brun, Ségolène Royal, and Emmanuel Maurel remain active challengers, with recent exchanges highlighting divisions over the 15-euro voting fee and Faure's push to widen participation to figures such as François Ruffin. Glucksmann has rejected rule changes ahead of the September 15 candidate deadline, reinforcing trader assessments that his organized base and refusal to dilute the contest give him the clearest path to a first-round plurality.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於拉斐爾·格魯克斯曼 54%
奧利維耶·福爾 19%
傑羅姆·古埃吉 14%
塞格琳·羅雅爾 12%
最新
最新
2026-10-10
拉斐爾·格魯克斯曼
54%
奧利維耶·福爾
19%
傑羅姆·古埃吉
14%
塞格琳·羅雅爾
12%
Emmanuel Maurel
3%
菲利普·布倫
1%
拉斐爾·格魯克斯曼 54%
奧利維耶·福爾 19%
傑羅姆·古埃吉 14%
塞格琳·羅雅爾 12%
最新
最新
2026-10-10
拉斐爾·格魯克斯曼
$149 交易量
54%
奧利維耶·福爾
$145 交易量
19%
傑羅姆·古埃吉
$127 交易量
14%
塞格琳·羅雅爾
$126 交易量
12%
Emmanuel Maurel
$118 交易量
3%
菲利普·布倫
$72 交易量
1%
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.Raphaël Glucksmann holds the strongest position among declared contenders for the first round of the October 9-10 primary, which will select the social-democratic candidate for the 2027 presidential election through an electronic vote open to PS and Place Publique members plus paying sympathizers. His lead stems from consistent polling strength for the general election, his European Parliament profile, and the July militant decision to limit the electorate to the narrower "pôle socialiste" rather than a broader left contest. Olivier Faure, Jérôme Guedj, Philippe Brun, Ségolène Royal, and Emmanuel Maurel remain active challengers, with recent exchanges highlighting divisions over the 15-euro voting fee and Faure's push to widen participation to figures such as François Ruffin. Glucksmann has rejected rule changes ahead of the September 15 candidate deadline, reinforcing trader assessments that his organized base and refusal to dilute the contest give him the clearest path to a first-round plurality.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
交易量
$738結束日期
2026-10-10市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ETThe Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.Raphaël Glucksmann holds the strongest position among declared contenders for the first round of the October 9-10 primary, which will select the social-democratic candidate for the 2027 presidential election through an electronic vote open to PS and Place Publique members plus paying sympathizers. His lead stems from consistent polling strength for the general election, his European Parliament profile, and the July militant decision to limit the electorate to the narrower "pôle socialiste" rather than a broader left contest. Olivier Faure, Jérôme Guedj, Philippe Brun, Ségolène Royal, and Emmanuel Maurel remain active challengers, with recent exchanges highlighting divisions over the 15-euro voting fee and Faure's push to widen participation to figures such as François Ruffin. Glucksmann has rejected rule changes ahead of the September 15 candidate deadline, reinforcing trader assessments that his organized base and refusal to dilute the contest give him the clearest path to a first-round plurality.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
交易量
$738結束日期
2026-10-10市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ETRaphaël Glucksmann holds the strongest position among declared contenders for the first round of the October 9-10 primary, which will select the social-democratic candidate for the 2027 presidential election through an electronic vote open to PS and Place Publique members plus paying sympathizers. His lead stems from consistent polling strength for the general election, his European Parliament profile, and the July militant decision to limit the electorate to the narrower "pôle socialiste" rather than a broader left contest. Olivier Faure, Jérôme Guedj, Philippe Brun, Ségolène Royal, and Emmanuel Maurel remain active challengers, with recent exchanges highlighting divisions over the 15-euro voting fee and Faure's push to widen participation to figures such as François Ruffin. Glucksmann has rejected rule changes ahead of the September 15 candidate deadline, reinforcing trader assessments that his organized base and refusal to dilute the contest give him the clearest path to a first-round plurality.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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