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icon for Ongo Niua 17補選獲勝者
世界·東加

Ongo Niua 17補選獲勝者

icon for Ongo Niua 17補選獲勝者
世界·東加

Ongo Niua 17補選獲勝者

『Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 34%

Sitiveni Selui 18%

‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau 17%

Sione Tuifio Hui 12%

Polymarket
最新

『Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 34%

Sitiveni Selui 18%

‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau 17%

Sione Tuifio Hui 12%

Polymarket
最新

『Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana

$140 交易量

34%

Sitiveni Selui

$20 交易量

18%

‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau

$20 交易量

17%

Sione Tuifio Hui

$34 交易量

19%

Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala

$55 交易量

11%

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).**The Niua 17 by-election on 8 October 2026 features five candidates contesting the seat vacated after the Supreme Court voided Lataifaingata’a Tangimana’s 2025 victory on bribery grounds.** The registered contenders—‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana, Sione Tuifio Hui, ‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, Sitiveni Selui, and Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala—are all drawn from villages across the small Niuas constituency, with support likely split along village and family lines in a first-past-the-post contest. Nominations closed only in early September, leaving little time for polling or national attention to consolidate behind any single name. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation, pricing the top three contenders in a narrow band while assigning the remainder modest implied probabilities. Absent major endorsements, campaign spending disclosures, or late shifts in local turnout expectations, the outcome remains highly sensitive to last-minute voter mobilization in the outer-island electorate.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
交易量
$269
結束日期
2026-10-08
市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).**The Niua 17 by-election on 8 October 2026 features five candidates contesting the seat vacated after the Supreme Court voided Lataifaingata’a Tangimana’s 2025 victory on bribery grounds.** The registered contenders—‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana, Sione Tuifio Hui, ‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, Sitiveni Selui, and Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala—are all drawn from villages across the small Niuas constituency, with support likely split along village and family lines in a first-past-the-post contest. Nominations closed only in early September, leaving little time for polling or national attention to consolidate behind any single name. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation, pricing the top three contenders in a narrow band while assigning the remainder modest implied probabilities. Absent major endorsements, campaign spending disclosures, or late shifts in local turnout expectations, the outcome remains highly sensitive to last-minute voter mobilization in the outer-island electorate.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
交易量
$269
結束日期
2026-10-08
市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Ongo Niua 17補選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "『Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana" at 34%, followed by "Sione Tuifio Hui" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Ongo Niua 17補選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Ongo Niua 17補選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ongo Niua 17補選獲勝者" is "『Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sione Tuifio Hui" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ongo Niua 17補選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.