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icon for Vaimauga 3補選優勝者
世界·薩摩亞

Vaimauga 3補選優勝者

icon for Vaimauga 3補選優勝者
世界·薩摩亞

Vaimauga 3補選優勝者

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 43%

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 43%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 43%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 43%

Polymarket
最新

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 43%

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 43%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 43%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 43%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo

$0 交易量

43%

icon for Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia

$0 交易量

43%

icon for Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni

$0 交易量

43%

icon for Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo

$0 交易量

43%

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).Vaimauga 3 by-election dynamics remain tightly contested after Samoa’s Electoral Court nullified the May 2026 result due to corrupt practices by both the FAST candidate and the independent winner, triggering a fresh poll. Multiple independents and party nominees, including several names listed near 43–50% in trader pricing, are competing in a constituency where local priorities such as water supply, roads, and village development often outweigh national party lines. The prior outcome highlighted voter resistance to party-switching under Samoa’s electoral rules, while the broad field and absence of a dominant frontrunner keep implied probabilities clustered. Scheduled events or candidate withdrawals within the resolution window could shift the balance among contenders.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-09-18
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).Vaimauga 3 by-election dynamics remain tightly contested after Samoa’s Electoral Court nullified the May 2026 result due to corrupt practices by both the FAST candidate and the independent winner, triggering a fresh poll. Multiple independents and party nominees, including several names listed near 43–50% in trader pricing, are competing in a constituency where local priorities such as water supply, roads, and village development often outweigh national party lines. The prior outcome highlighted voter resistance to party-switching under Samoa’s electoral rules, while the broad field and absence of a dominant frontrunner keep implied probabilities clustered. Scheduled events or candidate withdrawals within the resolution window could shift the balance among contenders.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-09-18
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vaimauga 3補選優勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo" at 44%, followed by "Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vaimauga 3補選優勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vaimauga 3補選優勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vaimauga 3補選優勝者" is "Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vaimauga 3補選優勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.