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icon for Jean-Lesage魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者
世界·國際選舉道具

Jean-Lesage魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者

icon for Jean-Lesage魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者
世界·國際選舉道具

Jean-Lesage魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者

索爾·扎內蒂 55%

Claude Villeneuve 39%

Nathalie St-Pierre 8%

南希·喬安妮特 3.8%

Polymarket
最新

索爾·扎內蒂 55%

Claude Villeneuve 39%

Nathalie St-Pierre 8%

南希·喬安妮特 3.8%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 索爾·扎內蒂

索爾·扎內蒂

$474 交易量

43%

icon for Claude Villeneuve

Claude Villeneuve

$369 交易量

39%

icon for Nathalie St-Pierre

Nathalie St-Pierre

$656 交易量

8%

icon for 南希·喬安妮特

南希·喬安妮特

$416 交易量

4%

icon for Gertrude Bourdon

Gertrude Bourdon

$399 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**In the Jean-Lesage riding, the 2026 Quebec general election on October 5 features a tight contest between incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire and Parti québécois challenger Claude Villeneuve.** Projections from models such as 338Canada treat the seat as a toss-up or narrow QS edge, reflecting Zanetti’s established local base in the Quebec City district against the PQ’s broader provincial momentum under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon. Zanetti, re-elected in 2022 and elected QS co-spokesperson in late 2025, benefits from the party’s historical strength in urban Capitale-Nationale ridings. Villeneuve’s candidacy, announced in August 2026 after municipal experience, capitalizes on PQ gains in recent by-elections and sovereignty-focused messaging that resonates with francophone voters. Nathalie St-Pierre (CAQ), Nancy Joannette (Conservative), and Gertrude Bourdon (Liberal) draw smaller shares that fragment the non-sovereigntist vote, sustaining the two-way dynamic. With the writ period underway and nomination deadlines approaching in mid-September, further separation will likely hinge on riding-specific turnout, leader visits, and any late shifts in francophone support amid province-wide polling volatility between the PQ and CAQ.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$2,315
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**In the Jean-Lesage riding, the 2026 Quebec general election on October 5 features a tight contest between incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire and Parti québécois challenger Claude Villeneuve.** Projections from models such as 338Canada treat the seat as a toss-up or narrow QS edge, reflecting Zanetti’s established local base in the Quebec City district against the PQ’s broader provincial momentum under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon. Zanetti, re-elected in 2022 and elected QS co-spokesperson in late 2025, benefits from the party’s historical strength in urban Capitale-Nationale ridings. Villeneuve’s candidacy, announced in August 2026 after municipal experience, capitalizes on PQ gains in recent by-elections and sovereignty-focused messaging that resonates with francophone voters. Nathalie St-Pierre (CAQ), Nancy Joannette (Conservative), and Gertrude Bourdon (Liberal) draw smaller shares that fragment the non-sovereigntist vote, sustaining the two-way dynamic. With the writ period underway and nomination deadlines approaching in mid-September, further separation will likely hinge on riding-specific turnout, leader visits, and any late shifts in francophone support amid province-wide polling volatility between the PQ and CAQ.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$2,315
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Jean-Lesage魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "索爾·扎內蒂" at 43%, followed by "Claude Villeneuve" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Jean-Lesage魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Jean-Lesage魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Jean-Lesage魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者" is "索爾·扎內蒂" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Claude Villeneuve" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Jean-Lesage魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.