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icon for Waratah–Wynyard市長選舉獲勝者
政治·馬約拉爾(Mayoral

Waratah–Wynyard市長選舉獲勝者

icon for Waratah–Wynyard市長選舉獲勝者
政治·馬約拉爾(Mayoral

Waratah–Wynyard市長選舉獲勝者

克洛伊·福斯特 45.0%

Leanne Raw 18%

Michael Johnstone 18%

Dillon Roberts 17%

Polymarket

$15,916 交易量

克洛伊·福斯特 45.0%

Leanne Raw 18%

Michael Johnstone 18%

Dillon Roberts 17%

Polymarket

$15,916 交易量

icon for 克洛伊·福斯特

克洛伊·福斯特

$3,630 交易量

45%

icon for Leanne Raw

Leanne Raw

$5,498 交易量

18%

icon for Michael Johnstone

Michael Johnstone

$2,468 交易量

18%

icon for Dillon Roberts

Dillon Roberts

$2,355 交易量

17%

icon for 瑪麗·杜尼亞姆

瑪麗·杜尼亞姆

$992 交易量

9%

icon for Kevin Hyland

Kevin Hyland

$973 交易量

1%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open contest for Waratah-Wynyard mayor, following incumbent Mary Duniam’s retirement, has produced a fragmented field of sitting councillors and new entrants ahead of the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections. Nominations opened only recently on September 7 and close September 21, leaving limited time for any candidate to consolidate support across the compulsory-voting electorate. Chloe Foster, a community and business figure, holds the highest single-candidate implied probability near 43 percent, while sitting councillors Michael Johnstone, Leanne Raw, and Dillon Roberts each sit in the low-to-mid teens. Low market volume and the absence of public polling keep trader consensus dispersed, with no candidate exceeding 50 percent. Further candidate statements, local endorsements, or campaign events before close of nominations could shift probabilities by clarifying frontrunner status in this preferential-voting race.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
交易量
$15,916
結束日期
2026-10-28
市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open contest for Waratah-Wynyard mayor, following incumbent Mary Duniam’s retirement, has produced a fragmented field of sitting councillors and new entrants ahead of the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections. Nominations opened only recently on September 7 and close September 21, leaving limited time for any candidate to consolidate support across the compulsory-voting electorate. Chloe Foster, a community and business figure, holds the highest single-candidate implied probability near 43 percent, while sitting councillors Michael Johnstone, Leanne Raw, and Dillon Roberts each sit in the low-to-mid teens. Low market volume and the absence of public polling keep trader consensus dispersed, with no candidate exceeding 50 percent. Further candidate statements, local endorsements, or campaign events before close of nominations could shift probabilities by clarifying frontrunner status in this preferential-voting race.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
交易量
$15,916
結束日期
2026-10-28
市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Waratah–Wynyard市長選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "克洛伊·福斯特" at 45%, followed by "Leanne Raw" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Waratah–Wynyard市長選舉獲勝者" has generated $15.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Waratah–Wynyard市長選舉獲勝者," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Waratah–Wynyard市長選舉獲勝者" is "克洛伊·福斯特" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Leanne Raw" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Waratah–Wynyard市長選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.