Lukáš Hájek leads the market for next mayor of Liberec at 96.5 percent because Starostové pro Liberecký kraj secured the largest share of seats in the October 2026 communal elections and quickly formed a broad coalition with Lepší Liberec and the LOL-Piráti grouping that controls a clear majority in the 39-member assembly. Coalition partners have publicly backed Hájek, the SLK leader and designated candidate, for the post previously held by term-limited Jaroslav Zámečník. Traders assign only single-digit or lower probabilities to alternatives such as Jan Hruška or Jiří Veselka, as none emerged with comparable support. The implied probability could shift if a pending court challenge to the election results delays or alters the assembly’s formal vote scheduled after mid-November.