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icon for Hochelaga-Maisonneuve魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者
世界·加拿大

Hochelaga-Maisonneuve魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者

icon for Hochelaga-Maisonneuve魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者
世界·加拿大

Hochelaga-Maisonneuve魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者

亞歷山大·勒杜克 42%

莫德·布羅薩爾-薩布蘭 35%

Béatrice Hodonou <1%

Janny Gaspard <1%

Polymarket

$10,799 交易量

亞歷山大·勒杜克 42%

莫德·布羅薩爾-薩布蘭 35%

Béatrice Hodonou <1%

Janny Gaspard <1%

Polymarket

$10,799 交易量

icon for 亞歷山大·勒杜克

亞歷山大·勒杜克

$2,675 交易量

54%

icon for 莫德·布羅薩爾-薩布蘭

莫德·布羅薩爾-薩布蘭

$4,508 交易量

35%

icon for Béatrice Hodonou

Béatrice Hodonou

$1,364 交易量

<1%

icon for Janny Gaspard

Janny Gaspard

$1,203 交易量

<1%

icon for 埃蓮娜·潘塔

埃蓮娜·潘塔

$1,049 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Alexandre Leduc, the incumbent Québec solidaire MNA since 2018, holds the lead in trader pricing for the Hochelaga-Maisonneuve seat ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election. His position reflects the riding’s consistent left-leaning profile and QS performance in recent cycles, while Maude Brossard-Sabourin of the Parti québécois sits as the clearest challenger. Multiple other candidates from the Liberals, CAQ, and smaller parties register minimal implied probability. The narrow gap between leading names stems from the short timeline to election day, potential late shifts in voter turnout among Montreal progressives, and the fragmented opposition field that has yet to consolidate behind any single alternative. Scheduled debates and final polling releases could still widen or narrow these margins before ballots close.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$10,799
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Alexandre Leduc, the incumbent Québec solidaire MNA since 2018, holds the lead in trader pricing for the Hochelaga-Maisonneuve seat ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election. His position reflects the riding’s consistent left-leaning profile and QS performance in recent cycles, while Maude Brossard-Sabourin of the Parti québécois sits as the clearest challenger. Multiple other candidates from the Liberals, CAQ, and smaller parties register minimal implied probability. The narrow gap between leading names stems from the short timeline to election day, potential late shifts in voter turnout among Montreal progressives, and the fragmented opposition field that has yet to consolidate behind any single alternative. Scheduled debates and final polling releases could still widen or narrow these margins before ballots close.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$10,799
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Hochelaga-Maisonneuve魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "亞歷山大·勒杜克" at 54%, followed by "莫德·布羅薩爾-薩布蘭" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Hochelaga-Maisonneuve魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者" has generated $10.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Hochelaga-Maisonneuve魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Hochelaga-Maisonneuve魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者" is "亞歷山大·勒杜克" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "莫德·布羅薩爾-薩布蘭" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Hochelaga-Maisonneuve魁北克國民議會選舉優勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.