Recent polling averages place Together, the Bennett-Lapid alliance, near 12 seats in the October 27 Knesset election, reflecting a steady decline since the April 2026 merger that initially projected higher totals. Voter movement toward Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar! list, which leads recent surveys around 23 seats, has drawn support from overlapping center-right and security-focused constituencies, while Likud holds steady near 22-23 seats. Surplus vote agreements and bloc dynamics keep the Zionist opposition short of a clear majority, sustaining uncertainty over final seat distribution. Late-campaign shifts on conscription, Gaza policy, or turnout among undecided voters could still alter the outcome within the narrow 8-13 seat range favored by current trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於11-13 30%
8-10 27%
少於8 26%
14-16 11%
少於8
30%
8-10
27%
11-13
40%
14-16
17%
17-19
5%
20+
8%
11-13 30%
8-10 27%
少於8 26%
14-16 11%
少於8
30%
8-10
27%
11-13
40%
14-16
17%
17-19
5%
20+
8%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
市場開放時間: Sep 3, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Recent polling averages place Together, the Bennett-Lapid alliance, near 12 seats in the October 27 Knesset election, reflecting a steady decline since the April 2026 merger that initially projected higher totals. Voter movement toward Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar! list, which leads recent surveys around 23 seats, has drawn support from overlapping center-right and security-focused constituencies, while Likud holds steady near 22-23 seats. Surplus vote agreements and bloc dynamics keep the Zionist opposition short of a clear majority, sustaining uncertainty over final seat distribution. Late-campaign shifts on conscription, Gaza policy, or turnout among undecided voters could still alter the outcome within the narrow 8-13 seat range favored by current trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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