**Saudi Arabia's insistence on tangible progress toward a Palestinian state continues to block major expansion, outweighing recent U.S. diplomatic pressure.** Despite President Trump's May 2026 calls linking new accessions to an Iran peace framework and earlier bilateral meetings with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Riyadh has maintained its longstanding conditions without movement. Kazakhstan's November 2025 accession and Somaliland's December pledge were largely symbolic, as both already maintained ties with Israel. Syria has signaled reluctance amid border frictions, while other candidates like Qatar and Pakistan have shown little concrete follow-through. With only months remaining before 2027 and no verified breakthroughs in the past six months, traders assign a modest edge to "No," viewing procedural and geopolitical barriers as durable in the near term.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
$198,343 交易量
$198,343 交易量
2026-12-31
$198,343 交易量
$198,343 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Saudi Arabia's insistence on tangible progress toward a Palestinian state continues to block major expansion, outweighing recent U.S. diplomatic pressure.** Despite President Trump's May 2026 calls linking new accessions to an Iran peace framework and earlier bilateral meetings with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Riyadh has maintained its longstanding conditions without movement. Kazakhstan's November 2025 accession and Somaliland's December pledge were largely symbolic, as both already maintained ties with Israel. Syria has signaled reluctance amid border frictions, while other candidates like Qatar and Pakistan have shown little concrete follow-through. With only months remaining before 2027 and no verified breakthroughs in the past six months, traders assign a modest edge to "No," viewing procedural and geopolitical barriers as durable in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$198,343結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Saudi Arabia's insistence on tangible progress toward a Palestinian state continues to block major expansion, outweighing recent U.S. diplomatic pressure.** Despite President Trump's May 2026 calls linking new accessions to an Iran peace framework and earlier bilateral meetings with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Riyadh has maintained its longstanding conditions without movement. Kazakhstan's November 2025 accession and Somaliland's December pledge were largely symbolic, as both already maintained ties with Israel. Syria has signaled reluctance amid border frictions, while other candidates like Qatar and Pakistan have shown little concrete follow-through. With only months remaining before 2027 and no verified breakthroughs in the past six months, traders assign a modest edge to "No," viewing procedural and geopolitical barriers as durable in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$198,343結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Saudi Arabia's insistence on tangible progress toward a Palestinian state continues to block major expansion, outweighing recent U.S. diplomatic pressure.** Despite President Trump's May 2026 calls linking new accessions to an Iran peace framework and earlier bilateral meetings with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Riyadh has maintained its longstanding conditions without movement. Kazakhstan's November 2025 accession and Somaliland's December pledge were largely symbolic, as both already maintained ties with Israel. Syria has signaled reluctance amid border frictions, while other candidates like Qatar and Pakistan have shown little concrete follow-through. With only months remaining before 2027 and no verified breakthroughs in the past six months, traders assign a modest edge to "No," viewing procedural and geopolitical barriers as durable in the near term.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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