Israel’s government has accelerated de facto control in the West Bank through settlement tenders, including major E1 projects that would fragment Palestinian territory, expanded land registration in Area C, and administrative measures extending civilian oversight into Areas A and B. These steps, advanced by ministers such as Bezalel Smotrich, create facts on the ground ahead of October 2026 elections but stop short of the formal sovereignty declaration or legal act required to trigger market resolution. Netanyahu has faced sustained U.S. opposition to explicit annexation, including reported assurances from President Trump against it, alongside international sanctions on settlements and coalition dynamics that have stalled Knesset bills. Traders price the low likelihood of crossing into official annexation by December 31, 2026, reflecting these diplomatic and procedural barriers over incremental integration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
6% 機率
$90,952 交易量
$90,952 交易量
2026-12-31
是
6% 機率
$90,952 交易量
$90,952 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel’s government has accelerated de facto control in the West Bank through settlement tenders, including major E1 projects that would fragment Palestinian territory, expanded land registration in Area C, and administrative measures extending civilian oversight into Areas A and B. These steps, advanced by ministers such as Bezalel Smotrich, create facts on the ground ahead of October 2026 elections but stop short of the formal sovereignty declaration or legal act required to trigger market resolution. Netanyahu has faced sustained U.S. opposition to explicit annexation, including reported assurances from President Trump against it, alongside international sanctions on settlements and coalition dynamics that have stalled Knesset bills. Traders price the low likelihood of crossing into official annexation by December 31, 2026, reflecting these diplomatic and procedural barriers over incremental integration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
交易量
$90,952結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel’s government has accelerated de facto control in the West Bank through settlement tenders, including major E1 projects that would fragment Palestinian territory, expanded land registration in Area C, and administrative measures extending civilian oversight into Areas A and B. These steps, advanced by ministers such as Bezalel Smotrich, create facts on the ground ahead of October 2026 elections but stop short of the formal sovereignty declaration or legal act required to trigger market resolution. Netanyahu has faced sustained U.S. opposition to explicit annexation, including reported assurances from President Trump against it, alongside international sanctions on settlements and coalition dynamics that have stalled Knesset bills. Traders price the low likelihood of crossing into official annexation by December 31, 2026, reflecting these diplomatic and procedural barriers over incremental integration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$90,952結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETIsrael’s government has accelerated de facto control in the West Bank through settlement tenders, including major E1 projects that would fragment Palestinian territory, expanded land registration in Area C, and administrative measures extending civilian oversight into Areas A and B. These steps, advanced by ministers such as Bezalel Smotrich, create facts on the ground ahead of October 2026 elections but stop short of the formal sovereignty declaration or legal act required to trigger market resolution. Netanyahu has faced sustained U.S. opposition to explicit annexation, including reported assurances from President Trump against it, alongside international sanctions on settlements and coalition dynamics that have stalled Knesset bills. Traders price the low likelihood of crossing into official annexation by December 31, 2026, reflecting these diplomatic and procedural barriers over incremental integration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions