Israel’s government has accelerated de facto control over West Bank Area C through February 2026 cabinet measures on land registration as state property, expanded ministerial oversight, and record settlement approvals, yet these steps stop short of a formal Knesset declaration extending Israeli sovereignty. Prime Minister Netanyahu has prioritized incremental bureaucratic integration and settlement growth over an explicit annexation vote, citing U.S. opposition under the Trump administration and the need to manage regional priorities. No binding sovereignty legislation is scheduled before the potential October 2026 elections, and international statements from dozens of governments have underscored risks to a two-state framework without prompting reversal. Traders price formal annexation before December 31, 2026, at just 9 percent, reflecting this distinction between administrative consolidation and official legal annexation alongside diplomatic constraints.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
9% 機率
$88,462 交易量
$88,462 交易量
2026-12-31
是
9% 機率
$88,462 交易量
$88,462 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel’s government has accelerated de facto control over West Bank Area C through February 2026 cabinet measures on land registration as state property, expanded ministerial oversight, and record settlement approvals, yet these steps stop short of a formal Knesset declaration extending Israeli sovereignty. Prime Minister Netanyahu has prioritized incremental bureaucratic integration and settlement growth over an explicit annexation vote, citing U.S. opposition under the Trump administration and the need to manage regional priorities. No binding sovereignty legislation is scheduled before the potential October 2026 elections, and international statements from dozens of governments have underscored risks to a two-state framework without prompting reversal. Traders price formal annexation before December 31, 2026, at just 9 percent, reflecting this distinction between administrative consolidation and official legal annexation alongside diplomatic constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
交易量
$88,462結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel’s government has accelerated de facto control over West Bank Area C through February 2026 cabinet measures on land registration as state property, expanded ministerial oversight, and record settlement approvals, yet these steps stop short of a formal Knesset declaration extending Israeli sovereignty. Prime Minister Netanyahu has prioritized incremental bureaucratic integration and settlement growth over an explicit annexation vote, citing U.S. opposition under the Trump administration and the need to manage regional priorities. No binding sovereignty legislation is scheduled before the potential October 2026 elections, and international statements from dozens of governments have underscored risks to a two-state framework without prompting reversal. Traders price formal annexation before December 31, 2026, at just 9 percent, reflecting this distinction between administrative consolidation and official legal annexation alongside diplomatic constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$88,462結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel’s government has accelerated de facto control over West Bank Area C through February 2026 cabinet measures on land registration as state property, expanded ministerial oversight, and record settlement approvals, yet these steps stop short of a formal Knesset declaration extending Israeli sovereignty. Prime Minister Netanyahu has prioritized incremental bureaucratic integration and settlement growth over an explicit annexation vote, citing U.S. opposition under the Trump administration and the need to manage regional priorities. No binding sovereignty legislation is scheduled before the potential October 2026 elections, and international statements from dozens of governments have underscored risks to a two-state framework without prompting reversal. Traders price formal annexation before December 31, 2026, at just 9 percent, reflecting this distinction between administrative consolidation and official legal annexation alongside diplomatic constraints.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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