Recent polling averages project Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud-led bloc, including Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism, Shas, and United Torah Judaism, at roughly 51–55 Knesset seats, short of the 61-seat majority required to form a government. Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party leads the opposing “change” bloc alongside Together, the Democrats, and Yisrael Beiteinu, with combined projections near 52 seats. Arab parties hold the remaining balance but have been largely excluded from coalition calculations by both sides. The October 27 election follows the first full Knesset term since 1988, with campaign focus on security outcomes, ultra-Orthodox conscription exemptions, and post-election surplus-vote agreements. Coalition talks after the vote will determine which parties enter government, potentially requiring cross-bloc deals or new elections if neither side reaches 61.