US military strikes against Iranian targets began on February 28, 2026, under executive direction without prior congressional authorization, framed by the administration as targeted action against nuclear and missile threats. Operations transitioned into a fragile ceasefire by early April, with negotiations continuing through Pakistani mediators over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and ballistic programs. Senate Republicans have blocked multiple War Powers Resolution efforts to require formal approval, while Pentagon costs have reached approximately $29 billion and force levels are drawing down. These dynamics, combined with the administration’s characterization of the conflict as effectively concluded, have kept prospects for an official declaration of war low in trader assessments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$7,522,003 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
8%
$7,522,003 交易量
12月31日
$549,369 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US military strikes against Iranian targets began on February 28, 2026, under executive direction without prior congressional authorization, framed by the administration as targeted action against nuclear and missile threats. Operations transitioned into a fragile ceasefire by early April, with negotiations continuing through Pakistani mediators over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and ballistic programs. Senate Republicans have blocked multiple War Powers Resolution efforts to require formal approval, while Pentagon costs have reached approximately $29 billion and force levels are drawing down. These dynamics, combined with the administration’s characterization of the conflict as effectively concluded, have kept prospects for an official declaration of war low in trader assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
交易量
$7,522,003結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US military strikes against Iranian targets began on February 28, 2026, under executive direction without prior congressional authorization, framed by the administration as targeted action against nuclear and missile threats. Operations transitioned into a fragile ceasefire by early April, with negotiations continuing through Pakistani mediators over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and ballistic programs. Senate Republicans have blocked multiple War Powers Resolution efforts to require formal approval, while Pentagon costs have reached approximately $29 billion and force levels are drawing down. These dynamics, combined with the administration’s characterization of the conflict as effectively concluded, have kept prospects for an official declaration of war low in trader assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$7,522,003結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military strikes against Iranian targets began on February 28, 2026, under executive direction without prior congressional authorization, framed by the administration as targeted action against nuclear and missile threats. Operations transitioned into a fragile ceasefire by early April, with negotiations continuing through Pakistani mediators over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and ballistic programs. Senate Republicans have blocked multiple War Powers Resolution efforts to require formal approval, while Pentagon costs have reached approximately $29 billion and force levels are drawing down. These dynamics, combined with the administration’s characterization of the conflict as effectively concluded, have kept prospects for an official declaration of war low in trader assessments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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