Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran center on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which outlined a 60-day window for addressing the Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, Iran's nuclear and missile programs, and a broader ceasefire following earlier indirect rounds in Oman, Switzerland, and Pakistan. As of early August 2026, positions have hardened with new demands from both sides on compensation, blockades, and control of maritime traffic, leading to stalled technical talks in Doha and reliance on intermediaries such as Oman and Qatar. US officials, including President Trump and Vice President Vance, have signaled ongoing messaging and potential resumption, while Iranian representatives have described exchanges as non-formal and conditioned on prior concessions. Mediators continue pushing for progress ahead of the December 31 deadline, though flare-ups and verification disputes remain key variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
$22,596 交易量
2026-12-31
阿巴斯·阿拉格奇
68%
史蒂夫·威特考夫
73%
賈里德·庫什納
65%
穆罕默德·巴蓋爾·加利巴夫
59%
尼克·斯圖爾特
37%
馬吉德·塔赫特-拉萬奇
37%
J.D. Vance
30%
馬可·魯比奧
24%
馬蘇德·佩澤什基安
22%
拉斐爾·格羅西
21%
埃斯邁爾·卡阿尼
20%
伊沙克·達爾
16%
巴德爾·本·哈馬德·阿勒布賽義
14%
穆罕默德·本·阿卜杜勒拉赫曼·阿勒薩尼
14%
卡澤姆·加里巴巴迪
13%
唐納德·川普
13%
彼特·海格塞斯
7%
Mojtaba Khamenei
4%
阿赫馬德·瓦希迪
43%
$22,596 交易量
阿巴斯·阿拉格奇
$97 交易量
68%
史蒂夫·威特考夫
$67 交易量
73%
賈里德·庫什納
$170 交易量
65%
穆罕默德·巴蓋爾·加利巴夫
$60 交易量
59%
尼克·斯圖爾特
$20 交易量
37%
馬吉德·塔赫特-拉萬奇
$20 交易量
37%
J.D. Vance
$40 交易量
30%
馬可·魯比奧
$40 交易量
24%
馬蘇德·佩澤什基安
$40 交易量
22%
拉斐爾·格羅西
$37 交易量
21%
埃斯邁爾·卡阿尼
$28 交易量
20%
伊沙克·達爾
$481 交易量
16%
巴德爾·本·哈馬德·阿勒布賽義
$351 交易量
14%
穆罕默德·本·阿卜杜勒拉赫曼·阿勒薩尼
$298 交易量
14%
卡澤姆·加里巴巴迪
$407 交易量
13%
唐納德·川普
$59 交易量
13%
彼特·海格塞斯
$1,703 交易量
7%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$18,653 交易量
4%
阿赫馬德·瓦希迪
$25 交易量
43%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran center on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which outlined a 60-day window for addressing the Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, Iran's nuclear and missile programs, and a broader ceasefire following earlier indirect rounds in Oman, Switzerland, and Pakistan. As of early August 2026, positions have hardened with new demands from both sides on compensation, blockades, and control of maritime traffic, leading to stalled technical talks in Doha and reliance on intermediaries such as Oman and Qatar. US officials, including President Trump and Vice President Vance, have signaled ongoing messaging and potential resumption, while Iranian representatives have described exchanges as non-formal and conditioned on prior concessions. Mediators continue pushing for progress ahead of the December 31 deadline, though flare-ups and verification disputes remain key variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
交易量
$22,596結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran center on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which outlined a 60-day window for addressing the Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, Iran's nuclear and missile programs, and a broader ceasefire following earlier indirect rounds in Oman, Switzerland, and Pakistan. As of early August 2026, positions have hardened with new demands from both sides on compensation, blockades, and control of maritime traffic, leading to stalled technical talks in Doha and reliance on intermediaries such as Oman and Qatar. US officials, including President Trump and Vice President Vance, have signaled ongoing messaging and potential resumption, while Iranian representatives have described exchanges as non-formal and conditioned on prior concessions. Mediators continue pushing for progress ahead of the December 31 deadline, though flare-ups and verification disputes remain key variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$22,596結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran center on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which outlined a 60-day window for addressing the Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, Iran's nuclear and missile programs, and a broader ceasefire following earlier indirect rounds in Oman, Switzerland, and Pakistan. As of early August 2026, positions have hardened with new demands from both sides on compensation, blockades, and control of maritime traffic, leading to stalled technical talks in Doha and reliance on intermediaries such as Oman and Qatar. US officials, including President Trump and Vice President Vance, have signaled ongoing messaging and potential resumption, while Iranian representatives have described exchanges as non-formal and conditioned on prior concessions. Mediators continue pushing for progress ahead of the December 31 deadline, though flare-ups and verification disputes remain key variables.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions