Trader consensus heavily favors no coup attempt in Iran by June 30, driven by the regime's post-war consolidation under IRGC Commander Ahmad Vahidi and Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, sidelining moderates without verified upheaval. April rumors of IRGC house arrests targeting President Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf, and negotiators faded without escalation, as hardliners dictate Strait of Hormuz strategy and war-end terms. On May 11, Pezeshkian pledged resources to rebuild Law Enforcement Command facilities amid protest fears from economic fallout, signaling internal focus over factional rupture. Absent major military defeats, protests, or diplomatic breakthroughs, structural cohesion and security apparatus strengthening underpin the low odds of disruption.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$1,110,764 交易量
$1,110,764 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$1,110,764 交易量
$1,110,764 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no coup attempt in Iran by June 30, driven by the regime's post-war consolidation under IRGC Commander Ahmad Vahidi and Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, sidelining moderates without verified upheaval. April rumors of IRGC house arrests targeting President Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf, and negotiators faded without escalation, as hardliners dictate Strait of Hormuz strategy and war-end terms. On May 11, Pezeshkian pledged resources to rebuild Law Enforcement Command facilities amid protest fears from economic fallout, signaling internal focus over factional rupture. Absent major military defeats, protests, or diplomatic breakthroughs, structural cohesion and security apparatus strengthening underpin the low odds of disruption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
交易量
$1,110,764結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no coup attempt in Iran by June 30, driven by the regime's post-war consolidation under IRGC Commander Ahmad Vahidi and Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, sidelining moderates without verified upheaval. April rumors of IRGC house arrests targeting President Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf, and negotiators faded without escalation, as hardliners dictate Strait of Hormuz strategy and war-end terms. On May 11, Pezeshkian pledged resources to rebuild Law Enforcement Command facilities amid protest fears from economic fallout, signaling internal focus over factional rupture. Absent major military defeats, protests, or diplomatic breakthroughs, structural cohesion and security apparatus strengthening underpin the low odds of disruption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,110,764結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no coup attempt in Iran by June 30, driven by the regime's post-war consolidation under IRGC Commander Ahmad Vahidi and Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, sidelining moderates without verified upheaval. April rumors of IRGC house arrests targeting President Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf, and negotiators faded without escalation, as hardliners dictate Strait of Hormuz strategy and war-end terms. On May 11, Pezeshkian pledged resources to rebuild Law Enforcement Command facilities amid protest fears from economic fallout, signaling internal focus over factional rupture. Absent major military defeats, protests, or diplomatic breakthroughs, structural cohesion and security apparatus strengthening underpin the low odds of disruption.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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