Xi Jinping's extensive consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army has created formidable structural barriers against any coordinated challenge before 2027. Ongoing personnel appointments, loyalty vetting, and internal security measures have maintained elite cohesion amid economic pressures and foreign policy strains. No verified reports of organized dissent or factional mobilization have emerged in recent months to alter this assessment. Traders' near-certain consensus aligns with these controls, though unexpected leadership health issues, succession disputes at the next party congress, or acute domestic crises could theoretically introduce new variables capable of shifting probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$127,680 交易量
$127,680 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$127,680 交易量
$127,680 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's extensive consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army has created formidable structural barriers against any coordinated challenge before 2027. Ongoing personnel appointments, loyalty vetting, and internal security measures have maintained elite cohesion amid economic pressures and foreign policy strains. No verified reports of organized dissent or factional mobilization have emerged in recent months to alter this assessment. Traders' near-certain consensus aligns with these controls, though unexpected leadership health issues, succession disputes at the next party congress, or acute domestic crises could theoretically introduce new variables capable of shifting probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$127,680結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's extensive consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army has created formidable structural barriers against any coordinated challenge before 2027. Ongoing personnel appointments, loyalty vetting, and internal security measures have maintained elite cohesion amid economic pressures and foreign policy strains. No verified reports of organized dissent or factional mobilization have emerged in recent months to alter this assessment. Traders' near-certain consensus aligns with these controls, though unexpected leadership health issues, succession disputes at the next party congress, or acute domestic crises could theoretically introduce new variables capable of shifting probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$127,680結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's extensive consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army has created formidable structural barriers against any coordinated challenge before 2027. Ongoing personnel appointments, loyalty vetting, and internal security measures have maintained elite cohesion amid economic pressures and foreign policy strains. No verified reports of organized dissent or factional mobilization have emerged in recent months to alter this assessment. Traders' near-certain consensus aligns with these controls, though unexpected leadership health issues, succession disputes at the next party congress, or acute domestic crises could theoretically introduce new variables capable of shifting probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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