Ongoing US-Iran negotiations over Iran's nuclear program have created balanced trader sentiment around the December 31 deadline, with recent Iranian counterproposals signaling openness to a temporary enrichment pause of up to 15 years and stockpile dilution in exchange for sanctions relief, while rejecting immediate transfers of enriched uranium due to distrust. Iranian officials have set preconditions for further talks and emphasized phased sequencing that prioritizes ending regional conflicts first, contrasting with US demands for longer moratoriums and permanent limits. This back-and-forth, including stalled responses to US proposals and statements from spokespersons like Esmail Baghaei, keeps the outcome uncertain as both sides weigh diplomatic breakthroughs against core positions on enrichment rights and verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$194,984 交易量
$194,984 交易量
是
$194,984 交易量
$194,984 交易量
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations over Iran's nuclear program have created balanced trader sentiment around the December 31 deadline, with recent Iranian counterproposals signaling openness to a temporary enrichment pause of up to 15 years and stockpile dilution in exchange for sanctions relief, while rejecting immediate transfers of enriched uranium due to distrust. Iranian officials have set preconditions for further talks and emphasized phased sequencing that prioritizes ending regional conflicts first, contrasting with US demands for longer moratoriums and permanent limits. This back-and-forth, including stalled responses to US proposals and statements from spokespersons like Esmail Baghaei, keeps the outcome uncertain as both sides weigh diplomatic breakthroughs against core positions on enrichment rights and verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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