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真主黨 預測與賠率

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Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

9%

July 31

$9M 交易量

$114K today

$203K Liq.

596

Ends 29 天前

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

1%

June 30

$115K 交易量

$22.2K Liq.

8

Ends 大約 22 小時內

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

16%

December 31

$3M 交易量

$18.9K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

3%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$617K 交易量

$410K Liq.

15

Ends 29 天前

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$918K 交易量

$39.9K Liq.

47

Ends 3 個月前

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

1%

June 30

$47.6K 交易量

$28.8K Liq.

Ends 29 天前

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

22%

December 31

$7M 交易量

$288K today

$655K Liq.

205

Ends 大約 22 小時內

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

3%

June 30

$225K 交易量

$21.3K Liq.

24

Ends 22 天前

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

2%

June 30

$102K 交易量

$19.4K Liq.

4

Ends 22 天前

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

38%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$137K 交易量

$78.7K today

$201K Liq.

4

Ends 6 個月內

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

1%

June 30

$69.6K 交易量

$15.9K Liq.

Ends 22 天前

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?

1%

$91.7K 交易量

$21.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 22 小時內

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Yes

$1 交易量

$141 Liq.

Ends 2 個月前

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

4%

June 30

$49.5K 交易量

$19.7K Liq.

3

Ends 2 個月前

Khamenei # posts June 26 - July 3, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 26 - July 3, 2026?

65%

<5

$9.5K 交易量

$7.7K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

Khamenei # posts June 30 - July 7, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 30 - July 7, 2026?

78%

<5

$1.3K 交易量

$14.5K Liq.

Ends 9 天內

Rainbow Six Siege: Shifters vs Falcons Esport (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage

Rainbow Six Siege: Shifters vs Falcons Esport (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage

69%

Falcons Esport

$175 交易量

$16.9K Liq.

Ends 大約 23 小時內

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

13%

June 29

$412K 交易量

$107K today

$362K Liq.

11

Ends 11 天內

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

18%

$25.4K 交易量

$12.1K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

<1%

June 30

$2M 交易量

$32.9K Liq.

59

Ends 29 天前

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 106 active markets for 真主黨 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $23.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 9% chance to July 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 真主黨 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.