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真主黨 預測與賠率

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Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

17%

December 31

$3M 交易量

$793K today

$14.9K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

4%

May 31

$163K 交易量

$22.4K Liq.

23

Ends 16 天內

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

4%

May 31

$28.9K 交易量

$13.7K Liq.

8

Ends 16 天內

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

4%

Lebanese Forces (LF)

$524K 交易量

$184K Liq.

13

Ends 16 天內

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

14%

June 30, 2026

$762K 交易量

$14.3K Liq.

44

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Israel Announces Ceasefire Extended by...?

Israel Announces Ceasefire Extended by...?

53%

May 16

$129K 交易量

$98.9K today

$88.8K Liq.

4

Ends 2 天內

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

10%

June 30

$1M 交易量

$130K today

$69.1K Liq.

20

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

97%

$179K 交易量

$10.5K Liq.

17

Ends 16 天內

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

23%

$153K 交易量

$12.3K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 交易量

$141 Liq.

Ends 15 天前

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

49%

$119 交易量

$720 Liq.

1

Ends 8 個月內

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

8%

$7.1K 交易量

$4.3K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

8%

May 31

$1M 交易量

$21.6K Liq.

48

Ends 16 天內

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

57%

June 30

$17M 交易量

$200K today

$271K Liq.

458

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

77%

<5

$4.7K 交易量

$4.5K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B

Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B

100%

THUNDER dOWNUNDER

$16.4K 交易量

$1M Liq.

Ends 3 分鐘前

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

35%

December 31

$14M 交易量

$260K Liq.

1,077

Ends 8 個月內

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

59%

Likud

$2.3K 交易量

$21.1K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Counter-Strike: cirahvi vs TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

Counter-Strike: cirahvi vs TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

100%

cirahvi

$10.4K 交易量

$1 Liq.

Ends 3 天前

Rocket League: Gentle Mates Alpine vs Team Falcons (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs

Rocket League: Gentle Mates Alpine vs Team Falcons (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs

Gentle Mates Alpine

$7.3K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 3 個月前

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 真主黨.

Polymarket currently hosts 106 active markets for 真主黨 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Hezbollah disarm by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $38.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 57% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 真主黨 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.