Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon during the 2026 Israel-Hezbollah conflict advanced north of the Litani River in late May toward Hezbollah positions near Nabatieh, with troops reaching the outskirts of Choukine after passing Zawtar al-Sharqiyah and Mayfadoun amid strikes and evacuation orders. A US-brokered truce took effect in mid-June, followed by a framework agreement outlining phased Israeli withdrawals from designated pilot zones and Lebanese army deployment starting in July. As of mid-September 2026, Israeli airstrikes, artillery, and demolitions continue in the Nabatieh and surrounding districts alongside reports of partial territorial control, while Lebanese President Joseph Aoun has emphasized negotiations for a security arrangement and eventual disengagement. Trader assessments center on whether confirmed ground troop entry into the municipality has met or will meet specific deadlines, weighed against the pace of de-escalation, compliance with withdrawal timelines, and any renewed clashes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$169,548 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
4%
$169,548 交易量
9月30日
$3,022 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Choukine in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon during the 2026 Israel-Hezbollah conflict advanced north of the Litani River in late May toward Hezbollah positions near Nabatieh, with troops reaching the outskirts of Choukine after passing Zawtar al-Sharqiyah and Mayfadoun amid strikes and evacuation orders. A US-brokered truce took effect in mid-June, followed by a framework agreement outlining phased Israeli withdrawals from designated pilot zones and Lebanese army deployment starting in July. As of mid-September 2026, Israeli airstrikes, artillery, and demolitions continue in the Nabatieh and surrounding districts alongside reports of partial territorial control, while Lebanese President Joseph Aoun has emphasized negotiations for a security arrangement and eventual disengagement. Trader assessments center on whether confirmed ground troop entry into the municipality has met or will meet specific deadlines, weighed against the pace of de-escalation, compliance with withdrawal timelines, and any renewed clashes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Choukine in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
市場開放時間： Aug 26, 2026, 10:54 AM ET
交易量
$169,548結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 10:54 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Choukine in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon during the 2026 Israel-Hezbollah conflict advanced north of the Litani River in late May toward Hezbollah positions near Nabatieh, with troops reaching the outskirts of Choukine after passing Zawtar al-Sharqiyah and Mayfadoun amid strikes and evacuation orders. A US-brokered truce took effect in mid-June, followed by a framework agreement outlining phased Israeli withdrawals from designated pilot zones and Lebanese army deployment starting in July. As of mid-September 2026, Israeli airstrikes, artillery, and demolitions continue in the Nabatieh and surrounding districts alongside reports of partial territorial control, while Lebanese President Joseph Aoun has emphasized negotiations for a security arrangement and eventual disengagement. Trader assessments center on whether confirmed ground troop entry into the municipality has met or will meet specific deadlines, weighed against the pace of de-escalation, compliance with withdrawal timelines, and any renewed clashes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Choukine in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$169,548結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Aug 26, 2026, 10:54 AM ETIsraeli ground operations in southern Lebanon during the 2026 Israel-Hezbollah conflict advanced north of the Litani River in late May toward Hezbollah positions near Nabatieh, with troops reaching the outskirts of Choukine after passing Zawtar al-Sharqiyah and Mayfadoun amid strikes and evacuation orders. A US-brokered truce took effect in mid-June, followed by a framework agreement outlining phased Israeli withdrawals from designated pilot zones and Lebanese army deployment starting in July. As of mid-September 2026, Israeli airstrikes, artillery, and demolitions continue in the Nabatieh and surrounding districts alongside reports of partial territorial control, while Lebanese President Joseph Aoun has emphasized negotiations for a security arrangement and eventual disengagement. Trader assessments center on whether confirmed ground troop entry into the municipality has met or will meet specific deadlines, weighed against the pace of de-escalation, compliance with withdrawal timelines, and any renewed clashes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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