Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes, but sustained injuries that have kept him largely out of public view. Iranian state media have issued written statements and released short, undated videos in early August 2026 showing him in meetings with advisers to address speculation over his condition and whereabouts. These limited releases follow months of unverified images and no confirmed live appearances or addresses, shaping trader views around his health status and the regime's management of his visibility. Any upcoming official events, policy announcements, or further verified footage within the resolution window could influence probabilities by clarifying whether a fuller public appearance is imminent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$6,653,790 交易量
8月31日
6%
9月30日
15%
12月31日
26%
$6,653,790 交易量
8月31日
6%
9月30日
15%
12月31日
26%
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
市場開放時間: Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes, but sustained injuries that have kept him largely out of public view. Iranian state media have issued written statements and released short, undated videos in early August 2026 showing him in meetings with advisers to address speculation over his condition and whereabouts. These limited releases follow months of unverified images and no confirmed live appearances or addresses, shaping trader views around his health status and the regime's management of his visibility. Any upcoming official events, policy announcements, or further verified footage within the resolution window could influence probabilities by clarifying whether a fuller public appearance is imminent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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