Recent polling averages place Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, in a narrow range around 22-24 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting its steady rise since launching in 2025 and consistent competition with Likud. Voter concerns over security policy, national service requirements, and post-October 7 accountability have driven support toward Yashar while fragmenting the broader opposition and Netanyahu-aligned blocs. Tight margins persist due to undecided voters, potential threshold crossings by smaller lists, and surplus-vote agreements that can shift final allocations. Upcoming campaign events and any late shifts in bloc negotiations remain the main variables that could widen or narrow Yashar’s projected seat totals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於24-25 36%
22-23 24%
26-27 17%
30+ 11.5%
少於20
7%
20-21
11%
22-23
25%
24-25
34%
26-27
17%
28-29
5%
30+
12%
24-25 36%
22-23 24%
26-27 17%
30+ 11.5%
少於20
7%
20-21
11%
22-23
25%
24-25
34%
26-27
17%
28-29
5%
30+
12%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
市場開放時間: Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Recent polling averages place Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, in a narrow range around 22-24 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting its steady rise since launching in 2025 and consistent competition with Likud. Voter concerns over security policy, national service requirements, and post-October 7 accountability have driven support toward Yashar while fragmenting the broader opposition and Netanyahu-aligned blocs. Tight margins persist due to undecided voters, potential threshold crossings by smaller lists, and surplus-vote agreements that can shift final allocations. Upcoming campaign events and any late shifts in bloc negotiations remain the main variables that could widen or narrow Yashar’s projected seat totals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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