Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election places Ra'am in a narrow band of 4–6 seats, reflecting modest Arab-sector turnout trends and competition from the reconstituted Joint List. The party's independent run, formalized separation from the Southern Islamic Movement, and addition of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz as its second candidate have aimed to broaden its civic appeal and Jewish-Arab partnership messaging, yet have not produced consistent gains in surveys. A surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List and ongoing Central Elections Committee proceedings on disqualification petitions add further variables that could shift final allocation by a seat or two. These elements sustain tight trader probabilities across the leading outcomes while leaving room for late movement tied to turnout or legal rulings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5 29%
4 28%
6 24.7%
7 14.0%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少於4
11%
4
28%
5
29%
6
25%
7
14%
8+
4%
5 29%
4 28%
6 24.7%
7 14.0%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
少於4
$1,118 交易量
11%
4
$1,827 交易量
28%
5
$1,439 交易量
29%
6
$1,617 交易量
25%
7
$1,127 交易量
14%
8+
$940 交易量
4%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election places Ra'am in a narrow band of 4–6 seats, reflecting modest Arab-sector turnout trends and competition from the reconstituted Joint List. The party's independent run, formalized separation from the Southern Islamic Movement, and addition of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz as its second candidate have aimed to broaden its civic appeal and Jewish-Arab partnership messaging, yet have not produced consistent gains in surveys. A surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List and ongoing Central Elections Committee proceedings on disqualification petitions add further variables that could shift final allocation by a seat or two. These elements sustain tight trader probabilities across the leading outcomes while leaving room for late movement tied to turnout or legal rulings.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
交易量
$8,067結束日期
2026-10-27市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election places Ra'am in a narrow band of 4–6 seats, reflecting modest Arab-sector turnout trends and competition from the reconstituted Joint List. The party's independent run, formalized separation from the Southern Islamic Movement, and addition of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz as its second candidate have aimed to broaden its civic appeal and Jewish-Arab partnership messaging, yet have not produced consistent gains in surveys. A surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List and ongoing Central Elections Committee proceedings on disqualification petitions add further variables that could shift final allocation by a seat or two. These elements sustain tight trader probabilities across the leading outcomes while leaving room for late movement tied to turnout or legal rulings.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
交易量
$8,067結束日期
2026-10-27市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETRecent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election places Ra'am in a narrow band of 4–6 seats, reflecting modest Arab-sector turnout trends and competition from the reconstituted Joint List. The party's independent run, formalized separation from the Southern Islamic Movement, and addition of former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz as its second candidate have aimed to broaden its civic appeal and Jewish-Arab partnership messaging, yet have not produced consistent gains in surveys. A surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List and ongoing Central Elections Committee proceedings on disqualification petitions add further variables that could shift final allocation by a seat or two. These elements sustain tight trader probabilities across the leading outcomes while leaving room for late movement tied to turnout or legal rulings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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