The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has remained on ordered departure status for non-essential personnel and families since February 2026, driven by security risks tied to the broader Iran conflict and Hezbollah-Israel hostilities along the southern border. Core staff continues diplomatic operations, including recent ambassador visits to southern Lebanon pilot zones and support for U.S.-brokered Israel-Lebanon framework talks aimed at disarming Hezbollah and phasing out Israeli forces. The next negotiation round is scheduled for October in Rome, while the State Department maintains a Level 4 travel advisory and restricts personnel movement. These factors reflect ongoing regional volatility without triggering full embassy closure, with traders assessing whether escalation or de-escalation in the coming months will shift the posture.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$119,425 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
6%
$119,425 交易量
12月31日
$25,323 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has remained on ordered departure status for non-essential personnel and families since February 2026, driven by security risks tied to the broader Iran conflict and Hezbollah-Israel hostilities along the southern border. Core staff continues diplomatic operations, including recent ambassador visits to southern Lebanon pilot zones and support for U.S.-brokered Israel-Lebanon framework talks aimed at disarming Hezbollah and phasing out Israeli forces. The next negotiation round is scheduled for October in Rome, while the State Department maintains a Level 4 travel advisory and restricts personnel movement. These factors reflect ongoing regional volatility without triggering full embassy closure, with traders assessing whether escalation or de-escalation in the coming months will shift the posture.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
市場開放時間： Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
交易量
$119,425結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has remained on ordered departure status for non-essential personnel and families since February 2026, driven by security risks tied to the broader Iran conflict and Hezbollah-Israel hostilities along the southern border. Core staff continues diplomatic operations, including recent ambassador visits to southern Lebanon pilot zones and support for U.S.-brokered Israel-Lebanon framework talks aimed at disarming Hezbollah and phasing out Israeli forces. The next negotiation round is scheduled for October in Rome, while the State Department maintains a Level 4 travel advisory and restricts personnel movement. These factors reflect ongoing regional volatility without triggering full embassy closure, with traders assessing whether escalation or de-escalation in the coming months will shift the posture.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
交易量
$119,425結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETThe U.S. Embassy in Beirut has remained on ordered departure status for non-essential personnel and families since February 2026, driven by security risks tied to the broader Iran conflict and Hezbollah-Israel hostilities along the southern border. Core staff continues diplomatic operations, including recent ambassador visits to southern Lebanon pilot zones and support for U.S.-brokered Israel-Lebanon framework talks aimed at disarming Hezbollah and phasing out Israeli forces. The next negotiation round is scheduled for October in Rome, while the State Department maintains a Level 4 travel advisory and restricts personnel movement. These factors reflect ongoing regional volatility without triggering full embassy closure, with traders assessing whether escalation or de-escalation in the coming months will shift the posture.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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