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政治·以色列

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

icon for Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?
政治·以色列

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

$52,444 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$52,444 交易量

Polymarket

12月31日

$915 交易量

20%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Aoun has repeatedly conditioned any direct contact with Netanyahu on first reaching an agreement, such as a non-aggression pact or expanded ceasefire framework covering borders, prisoner exchanges, and southern Lebanon withdrawals. Recent delegation talks in Rome produced reported progress on those issues, while Aoun's July White House visit with Trump focused on U.S. pressure for Israeli pullbacks and Lebanese army support. Traders assign low probability to a leader-level call by year-end because indirect channels and U.S. mediation remain the primary vehicles, with no scheduled bilateral meeting and Aoun's public stance against premature engagement. Ongoing Israeli operations and Hezbollah-related tensions further complicate timelines for direct diplomacy.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$52,444
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Aoun has repeatedly conditioned any direct contact with Netanyahu on first reaching an agreement, such as a non-aggression pact or expanded ceasefire framework covering borders, prisoner exchanges, and southern Lebanon withdrawals. Recent delegation talks in Rome produced reported progress on those issues, while Aoun's July White House visit with Trump focused on U.S. pressure for Israeli pullbacks and Lebanese army support. Traders assign low probability to a leader-level call by year-end because indirect channels and U.S. mediation remain the primary vehicles, with no scheduled bilateral meeting and Aoun's public stance against premature engagement. Ongoing Israeli operations and Hezbollah-related tensions further complicate timelines for direct diplomacy.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$52,444
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 20%, followed by "April 17" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?" has generated $52.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?" is "12月31日" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "April 17" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.