Recent US sanctions expansions, including "Operation Economic Outcast" targeting additional Iranian sectors, combined with sharply reduced crude exports (down to roughly 200,000–250,000 barrels per day amid revoked waivers and shipping disruptions) have sustained pressure on Iran's foreign currency inflows and fueled parallel-market rial depreciation toward 2.3 million per dollar. High domestic inflation and limited central bank reserves reinforce expectations of further weakening by year-end. Traders price the 2.0–3.0 million range as most probable because these structural constraints show no immediate reversal, while any extension of temporary relief, diplomatic progress, or export rebound could support stabilization near current levels. The distribution remains tight given uncertainty over enforcement timelines and potential policy shifts before December 31.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2,000,000 - 2,500,000 33%
250萬 - 300萬 25%
300萬 - 350萬 18%
低於200萬 16%
$15,911 交易量
$15,911 交易量
2026-12-31
低於200萬
16%
2,000,000 - 2,500,000
33%
250萬 - 300萬
25%
300萬 - 350萬
18%
350萬 - 400萬
4%
400萬以上
4%
2,000,000 - 2,500,000 33%
250萬 - 300萬 25%
300萬 - 350萬 18%
低於200萬 16%
$15,911 交易量
$15,911 交易量
2026-12-31
低於200萬
$5,528 交易量
16%
2,000,000 - 2,500,000
$4,037 交易量
33%
250萬 - 300萬
$2,041 交易量
25%
300萬 - 350萬
$2,193 交易量
18%
350萬 - 400萬
$1,605 交易量
4%
400萬以上
$509 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Recent US sanctions expansions, including "Operation Economic Outcast" targeting additional Iranian sectors, combined with sharply reduced crude exports (down to roughly 200,000–250,000 barrels per day amid revoked waivers and shipping disruptions) have sustained pressure on Iran's foreign currency inflows and fueled parallel-market rial depreciation toward 2.3 million per dollar. High domestic inflation and limited central bank reserves reinforce expectations of further weakening by year-end. Traders price the 2.0–3.0 million range as most probable because these structural constraints show no immediate reversal, while any extension of temporary relief, diplomatic progress, or export rebound could support stabilization near current levels. The distribution remains tight given uncertainty over enforcement timelines and potential policy shifts before December 31.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
交易量
$15,911結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Recent US sanctions expansions, including "Operation Economic Outcast" targeting additional Iranian sectors, combined with sharply reduced crude exports (down to roughly 200,000–250,000 barrels per day amid revoked waivers and shipping disruptions) have sustained pressure on Iran's foreign currency inflows and fueled parallel-market rial depreciation toward 2.3 million per dollar. High domestic inflation and limited central bank reserves reinforce expectations of further weakening by year-end. Traders price the 2.0–3.0 million range as most probable because these structural constraints show no immediate reversal, while any extension of temporary relief, diplomatic progress, or export rebound could support stabilization near current levels. The distribution remains tight given uncertainty over enforcement timelines and potential policy shifts before December 31.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$15,911結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ETRecent US sanctions expansions, including "Operation Economic Outcast" targeting additional Iranian sectors, combined with sharply reduced crude exports (down to roughly 200,000–250,000 barrels per day amid revoked waivers and shipping disruptions) have sustained pressure on Iran's foreign currency inflows and fueled parallel-market rial depreciation toward 2.3 million per dollar. High domestic inflation and limited central bank reserves reinforce expectations of further weakening by year-end. Traders price the 2.0–3.0 million range as most probable because these structural constraints show no immediate reversal, while any extension of temporary relief, diplomatic progress, or export rebound could support stabilization near current levels. The distribution remains tight given uncertainty over enforcement timelines and potential policy shifts before December 31.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions