Recent developments center on indirect diplomacy amid the 2026 Iran war and the June Islamabad Memorandum's 60-day window for a final deal, now nearing its close. President Trump has signaled ongoing but low-profile U.S. engagement while imposing new conditions including compensation demands, as Iran denies direct negotiations yet confirms message exchanges through intermediaries like Oman. Technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, nuclear limits, and maritime access have occurred in venues such as Switzerland and Qatar, involving U.S. Vice President JD Vance alongside Iranian officials including Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Abbas Araghchi, with Pakistani and Qatari mediators facilitating. Hardening positions on both sides and the absence of scheduled high-level sessions increase uncertainty about any round materializing by August 31.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$81,856 交易量
2026-08-31
尼克·斯圖爾特
35%
Abbas Araghchi
19%
賈里德·庫什納
19%
Kazem Gharibabadi
19%
Steve Witkoff
18%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
18%
馬吉德·塔赫特-拉萬奇
14%
伊沙克·達爾
13%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
10%
J.D. Vance
7%
Rafael Grossi
17%
Pete Hegseth
5%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
馬可·魯比奧
4%
Esmail Qaani
3%
唐納德·特朗普
2%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
48%
$81,856 交易量
尼克·斯圖爾特
$10 交易量
35%
Abbas Araghchi
$8,194 交易量
19%
賈里德·庫什納
$12,548 交易量
19%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,120 交易量
19%
Steve Witkoff
$10,690 交易量
18%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$10,968 交易量
18%
馬吉德·塔赫特-拉萬奇
$2,599 交易量
14%
伊沙克·達爾
$2,595 交易量
13%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,725 交易量
10%
J.D. Vance
$7,385 交易量
7%
Rafael Grossi
$878 交易量
17%
Pete Hegseth
$2,551 交易量
5%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,702 交易量
4%
馬可·魯比奧
$7,533 交易量
4%
Esmail Qaani
$380 交易量
3%
唐納德·特朗普
$6,008 交易量
2%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$296 交易量
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,466 交易量
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$208 交易量
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent developments center on indirect diplomacy amid the 2026 Iran war and the June Islamabad Memorandum's 60-day window for a final deal, now nearing its close. President Trump has signaled ongoing but low-profile U.S. engagement while imposing new conditions including compensation demands, as Iran denies direct negotiations yet confirms message exchanges through intermediaries like Oman. Technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, nuclear limits, and maritime access have occurred in venues such as Switzerland and Qatar, involving U.S. Vice President JD Vance alongside Iranian officials including Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Abbas Araghchi, with Pakistani and Qatari mediators facilitating. Hardening positions on both sides and the absence of scheduled high-level sessions increase uncertainty about any round materializing by August 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
交易量
$81,856結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent developments center on indirect diplomacy amid the 2026 Iran war and the June Islamabad Memorandum's 60-day window for a final deal, now nearing its close. President Trump has signaled ongoing but low-profile U.S. engagement while imposing new conditions including compensation demands, as Iran denies direct negotiations yet confirms message exchanges through intermediaries like Oman. Technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, nuclear limits, and maritime access have occurred in venues such as Switzerland and Qatar, involving U.S. Vice President JD Vance alongside Iranian officials including Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Abbas Araghchi, with Pakistani and Qatari mediators facilitating. Hardening positions on both sides and the absence of scheduled high-level sessions increase uncertainty about any round materializing by August 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$81,856結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments center on indirect diplomacy amid the 2026 Iran war and the June Islamabad Memorandum's 60-day window for a final deal, now nearing its close. President Trump has signaled ongoing but low-profile U.S. engagement while imposing new conditions including compensation demands, as Iran denies direct negotiations yet confirms message exchanges through intermediaries like Oman. Technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, nuclear limits, and maritime access have occurred in venues such as Switzerland and Qatar, involving U.S. Vice President JD Vance alongside Iranian officials including Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Abbas Araghchi, with Pakistani and Qatari mediators facilitating. Hardening positions on both sides and the absence of scheduled high-level sessions increase uncertainty about any round materializing by August 31.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions