Israeli military assessments indicate Hamas continues rebuilding combat infrastructure and command networks in Gaza City and other areas under its control despite the October 2025 ceasefire, prompting ongoing targeted IDF strikes on operatives and weapons sites. Defense Minister Israel Katz stated on September 16 that forces stand ready to resume larger operations to eliminate remaining Hamas capabilities if directed, while also referencing plans for population movement out of the Strip. Israeli elections on October 27 add political timing considerations, as does U.S. diplomatic pressure tied to disarmament and stabilization frameworks. Southern Command has developed contingency plans for phased advances into Gaza City, yet no major ground offensive has been authorized amid the current posture of limited raids and enforcement along the Yellow Line.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$758,654 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
10%
$758,654 交易量
12月31日
$109,023 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli military assessments indicate Hamas continues rebuilding combat infrastructure and command networks in Gaza City and other areas under its control despite the October 2025 ceasefire, prompting ongoing targeted IDF strikes on operatives and weapons sites. Defense Minister Israel Katz stated on September 16 that forces stand ready to resume larger operations to eliminate remaining Hamas capabilities if directed, while also referencing plans for population movement out of the Strip. Israeli elections on October 27 add political timing considerations, as does U.S. diplomatic pressure tied to disarmament and stabilization frameworks. Southern Command has developed contingency plans for phased advances into Gaza City, yet no major ground offensive has been authorized amid the current posture of limited raids and enforcement along the Yellow Line.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
交易量
$758,654結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli military assessments indicate Hamas continues rebuilding combat infrastructure and command networks in Gaza City and other areas under its control despite the October 2025 ceasefire, prompting ongoing targeted IDF strikes on operatives and weapons sites. Defense Minister Israel Katz stated on September 16 that forces stand ready to resume larger operations to eliminate remaining Hamas capabilities if directed, while also referencing plans for population movement out of the Strip. Israeli elections on October 27 add political timing considerations, as does U.S. diplomatic pressure tied to disarmament and stabilization frameworks. Southern Command has developed contingency plans for phased advances into Gaza City, yet no major ground offensive has been authorized amid the current posture of limited raids and enforcement along the Yellow Line.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$758,654結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETIsraeli military assessments indicate Hamas continues rebuilding combat infrastructure and command networks in Gaza City and other areas under its control despite the October 2025 ceasefire, prompting ongoing targeted IDF strikes on operatives and weapons sites. Defense Minister Israel Katz stated on September 16 that forces stand ready to resume larger operations to eliminate remaining Hamas capabilities if directed, while also referencing plans for population movement out of the Strip. Israeli elections on October 27 add political timing considerations, as does U.S. diplomatic pressure tied to disarmament and stabilization frameworks. Southern Command has developed contingency plans for phased advances into Gaza City, yet no major ground offensive has been authorized amid the current posture of limited raids and enforcement along the Yellow Line.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions