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icon for 馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統

馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統

icon for 馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統

馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統

$137,181 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$137,181 交易量

Polymarket

12月31日

$48,587 交易量

14%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mahmoud Abbas, the longtime president of the Palestinian Authority and Fatah leader, remains in office as of mid-2026 despite turning 90 and facing widespread domestic calls for his resignation. He has consolidated authority through recent moves, including appointing Hussein al-Sheikh as vice president and designated interim successor, re-election as Fatah chairman at the May 2026 party conference, and decrees setting legislative elections for November 2026 with presidential voting eyed for early 2027. Speculation around family involvement, such as his son Yasser Abbas’s rising Fatah role, and ongoing PA challenges including economic strain and governance questions continue to shape discussions of transition timing. These institutional steps and the absence of acute health or political crises support trader views that any departure is more likely tied to the scheduled electoral process than an abrupt exit.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$137,181
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mahmoud Abbas, the longtime president of the Palestinian Authority and Fatah leader, remains in office as of mid-2026 despite turning 90 and facing widespread domestic calls for his resignation. He has consolidated authority through recent moves, including appointing Hussein al-Sheikh as vice president and designated interim successor, re-election as Fatah chairman at the May 2026 party conference, and decrees setting legislative elections for November 2026 with presidential voting eyed for early 2027. Speculation around family involvement, such as his son Yasser Abbas’s rising Fatah role, and ongoing PA challenges including economic strain and governance questions continue to shape discussions of transition timing. These institutional steps and the absence of acute health or political crises support trader views that any departure is more likely tied to the scheduled electoral process than an abrupt exit.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$137,181
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 14%, followed by "6月30日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統" has generated $137.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統" is "12月31日" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "6月30日" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.