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icon for 馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統

馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統

icon for 馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統

馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統

$122,270 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$122,270 交易量

Polymarket

6月30日

$77,703 交易量

5%

12月31日

$44,567 交易量

8%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mahmoud Abbas has served as Palestinian Authority president since 2005, well beyond his original term, amid repeated delays in holding national elections. In October 2025 he issued a constitutional decree designating Hussein al-Sheikh as interim successor for up to 90 days should the presidency become vacant, a move intended to provide continuity but criticized for bypassing broader consultation. At the Fatah movement’s first central committee conference in nearly a decade, held in mid-May 2026, Abbas was unanimously re-elected leader and pledged reforms plus eventual presidential and legislative votes without setting a date. Palestinian polls continue to show widespread public dissatisfaction with his long rule, while internal debates over succession, including rising activity by his son Yasser, remain unresolved. These institutional and generational dynamics continue to shape expectations around any near-term leadership transition.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$122,270
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mahmoud Abbas has served as Palestinian Authority president since 2005, well beyond his original term, amid repeated delays in holding national elections. In October 2025 he issued a constitutional decree designating Hussein al-Sheikh as interim successor for up to 90 days should the presidency become vacant, a move intended to provide continuity but criticized for bypassing broader consultation. At the Fatah movement’s first central committee conference in nearly a decade, held in mid-May 2026, Abbas was unanimously re-elected leader and pledged reforms plus eventual presidential and legislative votes without setting a date. Palestinian polls continue to show widespread public dissatisfaction with his long rule, while internal debates over succession, including rising activity by his son Yasser, remain unresolved. These institutional and generational dynamics continue to shape expectations around any near-term leadership transition.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$122,270
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 8%, followed by "6月30日" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 8¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 8% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統" has generated $122.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統" is "12月31日" at just 8%, with "6月30日" close behind at 5%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "馬哈茂德·阿巴斯( Mahmoud Abbas )在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.