Andrés Fontecilla holds a commanding position as the incumbent Québec solidaire MNA in Laurier-Dorion, a Montreal riding covering Villeray and Parc-Extension with a diverse electorate where the party secured nearly 49% in 2022. Recent 338Canada projections updated September 16 show QS at 38% against the Liberals at 36% in a toss-up leaning toward the incumbent, consistent with his ongoing community work on housing affordability and immigration issues during the current campaign. Nominations closed September 17 with Liberal Randy Legault-Rankin and lower-profile CAQ, PQ, and Conservative candidates entering the field, yet these have produced limited movement in trader assessments ahead of the October 5 vote. The market pricing captures Fontecilla’s local name recognition and the riding’s structural tilt toward QS over challengers facing tighter provincial headwinds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於安德烈斯·方特西利亞 71%
蘭迪·雷戈-蘭金 21%
埃米爾·帕爾菲諾夫 3.1%
德里克·勒費弗爾 1.1%

安德烈斯·方特西利亞
76%

蘭迪·雷戈-蘭金
21%

埃米爾·帕爾菲諾夫
3%

德里克·勒費弗爾
1%

Kelly Lazo de la Vega
<1%
安德烈斯·方特西利亞 71%
蘭迪·雷戈-蘭金 21%
埃米爾·帕爾菲諾夫 3.1%
德里克·勒費弗爾 1.1%

安德烈斯·方特西利亞
76%

蘭迪·雷戈-蘭金
21%

埃米爾·帕爾菲諾夫
3%

德里克·勒費弗爾
1%

Kelly Lazo de la Vega
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Andrés Fontecilla holds a commanding position as the incumbent Québec solidaire MNA in Laurier-Dorion, a Montreal riding covering Villeray and Parc-Extension with a diverse electorate where the party secured nearly 49% in 2022. Recent 338Canada projections updated September 16 show QS at 38% against the Liberals at 36% in a toss-up leaning toward the incumbent, consistent with his ongoing community work on housing affordability and immigration issues during the current campaign. Nominations closed September 17 with Liberal Randy Legault-Rankin and lower-profile CAQ, PQ, and Conservative candidates entering the field, yet these have produced limited movement in trader assessments ahead of the October 5 vote. The market pricing captures Fontecilla’s local name recognition and the riding’s structural tilt toward QS over challengers facing tighter provincial headwinds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions