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icon for Derwent Valley市長選舉獲勝者

Derwent Valley市長選舉獲勝者

icon for Derwent Valley市長選舉獲勝者

Derwent Valley市長選舉獲勝者

米歇爾·德拉庫里斯 51%

Casey Farrell 15%

Jess Burns 12.0%

詹姆斯·蘭德爾 1.1%

Polymarket
最新

米歇爾·德拉庫里斯 51%

Casey Farrell 15%

Jess Burns 12.0%

詹姆斯·蘭德爾 1.1%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 米歇爾·德拉庫里斯

米歇爾·德拉庫里斯

$517 交易量

51%

icon for Casey Farrell

Casey Farrell

$578 交易量

11%

icon for Jess Burns

Jess Burns

$351 交易量

7%

icon for 詹姆斯·蘭德爾

詹姆斯·蘭德爾

$200 交易量

1%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Incumbent Michelle Dracoulis holds the strongest position in trader pricing for the Derwent Valley mayoral contest ahead of Tasmania’s October 27 local government elections. Recent council actions under her leadership, including budget measures that returned the authority to a projected surplus and the appointment of a new CEO following an extensive recruitment process, have reinforced her standing. Nominations close on September 21, leaving limited time for challengers such as Casey Farrell, Jess Burns, and James Randall to build visibility or organized campaigns. Tasmania’s preferential voting system and the fragmented field of independents keep probabilities for lesser-known candidates compressed near even odds until formal nominations and early voting patterns clarify preferences.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
交易量
$1,646
結束日期
2026-10-28
市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Incumbent Michelle Dracoulis holds the strongest position in trader pricing for the Derwent Valley mayoral contest ahead of Tasmania’s October 27 local government elections. Recent council actions under her leadership, including budget measures that returned the authority to a projected surplus and the appointment of a new CEO following an extensive recruitment process, have reinforced her standing. Nominations close on September 21, leaving limited time for challengers such as Casey Farrell, Jess Burns, and James Randall to build visibility or organized campaigns. Tasmania’s preferential voting system and the fragmented field of independents keep probabilities for lesser-known candidates compressed near even odds until formal nominations and early voting patterns clarify preferences.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
交易量
$1,646
結束日期
2026-10-28
市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Derwent Valley市長選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "米歇爾·德拉庫里斯" at 51%, followed by "Casey Farrell" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Derwent Valley市長選舉獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Derwent Valley市長選舉獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Derwent Valley市長選舉獲勝者" is "米歇爾·德拉庫里斯" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Casey Farrell" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Derwent Valley市長選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.